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The MarginPolitics & Sport
Updated Aug 29

The daily desk

Where every race stands today · auto-compiled from the current poll averages. Subscribe by RSS.

United States Dem leads on 44.2%, ahead of Rep by 4.7.United Kingdom RUK leads on 27.0%, ahead of Con by 7.6.Germany AfD leads on 28.1%, ahead of Union by 6.0. Biggest move: Union -0.6.France RN leads on 34.0%, ahead of NFP by 9.8. Biggest move: RN +2.4.Italy FdI leads on 28.0%, ahead of PD by 6.4.Canada LPC leads on 43.8%, ahead of CPC by 10.8. Biggest move: LPC -1.1.Australia ALP leads on 53.5%, ahead of LNP by 7.0. Biggest move: ALP +0.6.Netherlands GL-PvdA leads on 16.4%, ahead of VVD by 2.8. Biggest move: PVV -2.9.Spain PP leads on 32.8%, ahead of PSOE by 5.7. Biggest move: PSOE -0.9.Poland KO leads on 31.4%, ahead of PiS by 6.4. Biggest move: KO -1.6.Sweden S leads on 32.2%, ahead of SD by 12.9. Biggest move: KD +1.0.Ireland Ind leads on 21.1%, ahead of SF by 0.2. Biggest move: SD +2.0.Portugal PS leads on 29.1%, ahead of AD by 4.6. Biggest move: CH +1.8.Austria FPOe leads on 37.2%, ahead of OeVP by 16.8.Belgium NVA leads on 16.7%, ahead of OpenVLD-MR by 1.0.Denmark S leads on 21.0%, ahead of SF by 9.6. Biggest move: SF -1.9.Finland SDP leads on 23.8%, ahead of KOK by 6.2.Greece ND leads on 29.4%, ahead of ELAS by 12.5. Biggest move: ELPIDA -2.2.Czechia ANO leads on 32.3%, ahead of SPOLU by 12.9. Biggest move: ANO -1.4.Romania AUR leads on 35.0%, ahead of PSD by 14.1. Biggest move: PNL +4.0.Hungary TISZA leads on 49.8%, ahead of Fidesz by 9.2. Biggest move: TISZA -9.2.Slovakia PS leads on 25.2%, ahead of Smer by 4.3.Croatia HDZ leads on 31.0%, ahead of SDP by 7.7. Biggest move: Others +1.4.Bulgaria PB leads on 46.2%, ahead of GERB by 30.7. Biggest move: DPS -1.0.Slovenia SDS leads on 27.5%, ahead of GS by 1.1. Biggest move: Levica +1.3.Lithuania LSDP leads on 28.1%, ahead of NA by 11.2. Biggest move: LSDP +1.0.Latvia JV leads on 22.1%, ahead of ZZS by 3.2. Biggest move: JV +1.0.Estonia Isamaa leads on 29.9%, ahead of Reform by 11.8. Biggest move: Isamaa -1.0.Luxembourg CSV leads on 21.8%, ahead of DP by 0.3.Malta PL leads on 52.5%, ahead of PN by 9.2. Biggest move: PN -0.8.Cyprus DISY leads on 27.1%, ahead of AKEL by 3.2.Switzerland UDC leads on 30.4%, ahead of PS by 11.6.Norway FrP leads on 29.6%, ahead of Ap by 7.3. Biggest move: H -1.1.Iceland S leads on 28.6%, ahead of M by 8.7. Biggest move: D +1.8.Serbia SNS leads on 47.1%, ahead of STU by 16.4.Albania PS leads on 53.3%, ahead of PD by 20.3.North Macedonia VMRO leads on 44.6%, ahead of SDSM by 28.8.Montenegro DPS leads on 26.3%, ahead of ZBCG by 3.7.Bosnia and Herzegovina SDA leads on 17.2%, ahead of SNSD by 0.9.Kosovo LVV leads on 47.1%, ahead of PDK by 27.7.Moldova PAS leads on 42.6%, ahead of PSRM by 25.1.Ukraine SN leads on 43.2%, ahead of OPZZH by 30.1.Andorra DA leads on 32.7%, ahead of CONC by 11.2.San Marino PDCS leads on 34.1%, ahead of LIBERA by 18.4.Liechtenstein VU leads on 38.3%, ahead of FBP by 10.8.Monaco UNM leads on 89.6%, ahead of NIM by 79.3.Brazil PT leads on 41.8%, ahead of PL by 8.4. Biggest move: PL +3.9.Mexico MORENA leads on 43.3%, ahead of PAN by 30.0. Biggest move: MORENA +9.0.Argentina FP leads on 35.2%, ahead of LLA by 1.8.Colombia PH leads on 23.7%, ahead of CD by 7.4.Peru FP leads on 14.7%, ahead of RP by 3.7.Chile REP leads on 13.3%, ahead of PDG by 1.3.Ecuador ADN leads on 43.3%, ahead of RC by 2.0.Bolivia PDC leads on 32.2%, ahead of LIBRE by 5.5.Uruguay FA leads on 46.1%, ahead of PN by 17.9.Paraguay ANR leads on 45.7%, ahead of CONC by 21.3.Costa Rica PPSO leads on 45.2%, ahead of PLN by 22.0.Panama IND leads on 24.1%, ahead of RM by 6.9.Dominican Republic PRM leads on 48.4%, ahead of FP by 31.3.Guatemala VAMOS leads on 15.1%, ahead of UNE by 2.2.Honduras PNH leads on 35.3%, ahead of PLH by 0.8.Jamaica JLP leads on 50.5%, ahead of PNP by 1.3.Trinidad and Tobago UNC leads on 54.0%, ahead of PNM by 17.8.Guyana PPPC leads on 55.3%, ahead of WIN by 30.4.India NDA leads on 47.0%, ahead of INDIA by 8.0.Indonesia PDIP leads on 16.7%, ahead of GOLKAR by 1.4.Japan LDP leads on 31.4%, ahead of CRA by 17.1. Biggest move: LDP -3.3.Philippines LAKAS leads on 32.9%, ahead of NUP by 20.8.Turkey AKP leads on 32.4%, ahead of CHP by 1.9. Biggest move: YRP -1.4.South Korea DPK leads on 42.3%, ahead of PPP by 7.4.Taiwan DPP leads on 36.2%, ahead of KMT by 1.6.Israel LIKUD leads on 24.4%, ahead of YASHAR by 3.8.Malaysia PH leads on 38.2%, ahead of PN by 7.8.Sri Lanka NPP leads on 61.6%, ahead of SJB by 43.9.Nepal RSP leads on 47.8%, ahead of NC by 31.6.Mongolia MPP leads on 35.0%, ahead of DP by 4.9.New Zealand LAB leads on 30.7%, ahead of NAT by 0.9. Biggest move: GRN +1.8.Timor-Leste CNRT leads on 41.6%, ahead of FRETILIN by 15.8.Fiji FF leads on 42.6%, ahead of PAP by 6.8.Samoa FAST leads on 40.9%, ahead of HRPP by 4.1.South Africa ANC leads on 38.5%, ahead of DA by 11.0. Biggest move: ANC +6.0.Ghana NDC leads on 52.9%, ahead of NPP by 8.4.Botswana UDC leads on 37.2%, ahead of BDP by 6.7.Namibia SWAPO leads on 53.4%, ahead of IPC by 33.2.Mauritius ADC leads on 61.4%, ahead of AL by 34.1.Cape Verde PAICV leads on 48.0%, ahead of MPD by 3.2.Senegal PASTEF leads on 55.0%, ahead of TWS by 40.3.Seychelles US leads on 49.1%, ahead of LDS by 4.3.Lesotho RFP leads on 38.9%, ahead of DC by 14.1.Malawi DPP leads on 56.8%, ahead of MCP by 23.8.Zambia UPND leads on 46.2%, ahead of PF by 10.5.Liberia IND leads on 25.7%, ahead of CDC by 3.6.The Gambia NPP leads on 29.2%, ahead of UDP by 1.2.São Tomé and Príncipe ADI leads on 46.9%, ahead of MLSTP by 14.2.Russia ER leads on 49.8%, ahead of KPRF by 30.9.Armenia CC leads on 49.9%, ahead of SA by 26.6.Azerbaijan YAP leads on 50.4%, ahead of IND by 11.0.Belarus LUK leads on 87.5%, ahead of AA by 83.9.Georgia GD leads on 53.9%, ahead of CFC by 42.9.Antigua and Barbuda ABLP leads on 60.8%, ahead of UPP by 23.5.Bahamas PLP leads on 52.3%, ahead of FNM by 16.4.Barbados BLP leads on 69.8%, ahead of DLP by 42.5.Belize PUP leads on 67.9%, ahead of UDPB by 49.0.Dominica DLP leads on 82.4%, ahead of IND by 65.6.Grenada NDC leads on 51.8%, ahead of NNP by 4.0.Saint Kitts and Nevis SKNLP leads on 45.7%, ahead of PLP by 28.6.Saint Lucia SLP leads on 55.8%, ahead of UWP by 18.6.Saint Vincent and the Grenadines NDP leads on 57.7%, ahead of ULP by 15.6.Nicaragua FSLN leads on 75.9%, ahead of PLC by 61.6.Suriname NDP leads on 34.2%, ahead of VHP by 2.4.El Salvador NI leads on 55.0%, ahead of VAMOS by 52.3.Venezuela GPP leads on 83.5%, ahead of AD by 77.5.Singapore PAP leads on 65.6%, ahead of WP by 50.6.Pakistan PTI leads on 31.2%, ahead of PMLN by 7.6.Bangladesh BNP leads on 50.0%, ahead of JI by 18.2.Thailand PP leads on 31.5%, ahead of BJT by 13.0.Cambodia CPP leads on 82.3%, ahead of FUN by 73.1.Myanmar USDP leads on 45.1%, ahead of NUP by 28.6.Iran PEZ leads on 44.4%, ahead of JAL by 4.1.Kazakhstan AMANAT leads on 53.9%, ahead of AUYL by 43.0.Uzbekistan LDPU leads on 34.7%, ahead of MT by 15.9.Tajikistan PDPT leads on 53.0%, ahead of APT by 31.5.Bhutan PDP leads on 42.5%, ahead of BTP by 22.9.Maldives PNC leads on 47.5%, ahead of MDP by 16.8.Solomon Islands OUR leads on 24.1%, ahead of IND by 2.2.Vanuatu UMP leads on 15.5%, ahead of VP by 0.8.Algeria OTH leads on 73.8%, ahead of FLN by 67.6.Angola MPLA leads on 51.2%, ahead of UNITA by 7.3.Benin UPR leads on 41.2%, ahead of BR by 4.6.Burkina Faso MPP leads on 34.6%, ahead of OTH by 5.7.Burundi CNDD leads on 96.5%, ahead of OTH by 94.4.Cameroon CPDM leads on 53.7%, ahead of FSNC by 18.5.Central African Republic MCU leads on 76.2%, ahead of URCA by 61.5.Chad MPS leads on 61.0%, ahead of LT by 42.5.Comoros CRC leads on 57.0%, ahead of JUWA by 45.9.Republic of the Congo PCT leads on 94.9%, ahead of OTH by 92.2.Democratic Republic of the Congo UDPS leads on 73.5%, ahead of ENS by 55.2.Ivory Coast RHDP leads on 91.2%, ahead of CODE by 88.1.Djibouti RPP leads on 97.0%, ahead of UDC by 94.0.Egypt SISI leads on 89.6%, ahead of RPP by 85.1.Equatorial Guinea PDGE leads on 97.0%, ahead of CPDS by 94.7.Ethiopia PP leads on 89.2%, ahead of OTH by 85.2.Gabon UDB leads on 94.9%, ahead of EPG by 91.8.Guinea MD leads on 86.7%, ahead of FRO by 80.1.Guinea-Bissau PAITR leads on 39.4%, ahead of MADEM by 15.0.Iraq OTH leads on 38.7%, ahead of RDC by 27.0.Jordan OTH leads on 38.4%, ahead of IAF by 4.7.Kenya UDA leads on 50.5%, ahead of AZI by 1.6.Lebanon OTH leads on 51.5%, ahead of HEZ by 32.9.Madagascar IRMAR leads on 41.8%, ahead of IND by 4.2.Mali RPM leads on 67.2%, ahead of URD by 34.4.Mauritania INSAF leads on 56.1%, ahead of RAG by 34.0.Morocco RNI leads on 27.6%, ahead of PAM by 9.3.Mozambique FRE leads on 71.4%, ahead of POD by 58.5.Niger PNDS leads on 37.0%, ahead of OTH by 9.7.Nigeria APC leads on 36.6%, ahead of PDP by 7.5.Palestine HAM leads on 44.4%, ahead of FAT by 3.0.Rwanda RPF leads on 68.8%, ahead of PL by 60.1.Sudan NCP leads on 94.1%, ahead of OTH by 89.6.Sierra Leone SLPP leads on 56.7%, ahead of APC by 16.7.Togo UNIR leads on 70.8%, ahead of MPDD by 51.3.Tunisia KS leads on 90.7%, ahead of AZ by 83.3.Tanzania CCM leads on 97.7%, ahead of OTH by 95.4.Uganda NRM leads on 71.7%, ahead of NUP by 47.0.Yemen GPC leads on 57.8%, ahead of ISLAH by 35.3.Zimbabwe ZANU leads on 56.2%, ahead of CCC by 14.7.

Generated 2026-08-29. Figures are estimates.