Bahamas · the next election, by the numbers · The Margin

Skip to content

The MarginPolitics & Sport

Home Elections Sport

Updated Oct 19

Share𝕏 Bluesky

Antigua and Barbuda

The Margin newsletter

The week in polls, seat models and playoff odds. Free.

@zanebalian on X

Politics, cities and the odd forecast.

Follow @zanebalian

The Margin

Every race, by the numbers. Free, daily, no paywall.All countries Elections calendar

Newsletter

Free weekly · on Substack

Americas

United States Canada Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia All 33 →

Europe

United Kingdom Germany France Italy Netherlands Spain All 48 →

Asia & Pacific

Australia India Indonesia Japan Philippines Turkey All 31 →

Africa & Middle East

South Africa Ghana Botswana Namibia Mauritius Cape Verde All 54 →

Sport

Sport hub World Cup 2026 MLB NFL Formula 1 NBA NHL Premier League Champions League La Liga Winter Olympics

Data & developers

Data & API Embed a chart Methodology Model audit Daily digest & RSS Sources

Site

About FAQ & glossary Provinces & states US midterms by state European Parliament Corrections Contact Terms Privacy ← zanebalian.com

The Margin publishes nowcasts, meaning what current polling implies if an election were held today, not predictions of a future result. Figures are estimates from public data and sources are cited on each page. Edited by Zane Balian. Updated daily.