Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 7 polls from 3 polling houses, newest 2026-03-31. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 93 days old · no recent polling).
S28.6%±2.4▼ -0.9
M19.9%±1.2▼ -0.1
D18.1%±2.1▲ +1.8
C11.4%±2.2▼ -0.6
F5.8%±1.1▼ -0.3
B5.6%±1.4▼ -0.6
V4.3%±1.1▲ +0.5
P3.6%±1.2▲ +0.2
J2.5%±1.1▲ +0.2
In this average: Gallup, Maskína, Prósent. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.