Data notesMap: official VRK precinct data by countyReal system adds 71 single-member seats
The forecast model
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 4 polls from 3 polling houses, newest 2026-06-17. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 73 days old · no recent polling).
LSDP28.1%±1.1▲ +1.0
NA16.9%±1.1▼ -1.0
TS-LKD15.3%±1.1▲ +0.5
DSVL11.1%±1.1▼ -0.5
LVZS10.1%±1.1▼ -0.5
LP7.9%±1.1▲ +0.5
LV45.7%±1.1▼ -0.5
Others4.9%
In this average · Baltijos tyrimai, Spinter tyrimai, Vilmorus. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.