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The Margin★ Midterms 2026 · 124d
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 7 polls from 6 polling houses, newest 2026-06-14. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
AKP32.4%±2.0▲ +0.3
CHP30.5%±1.9▲ +1.0
DEM9.2%±1.1▲ +0.6
MHP7.8%±1.1▼ -0.4
IYI6.3%±1.1▼ -0.3
ZP3.5%±1.2▲ +0.6
AP3.1%±1.1▲ +0.8
YRP2.9%±1.1▼ -1.4
TIP1.6%±1.1▼ -0.2
Others2.7%
In this average: AREA, Asal, BETIMAR, Gundemar, Optimar, SAROS. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.