The forecast model
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 12 polls from 3 polling houses, newest 2026-06-24. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 66 days old · no recent polling).
SDS27.5%±1.1▼ -0.1
GS26.4%±1.3▼ -1.1
NSi10.5%±1.1▲ +0.1
SD9.5%±1.1▲ +1.2
Levica8.7%±1.1▲ +1.3
Resni4.6%±1.1▲ +0.3
DEM4.2%±1.1▼ -0.1
Others8.6%
In this average · IJEK, Mediana, Ninamedia. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.