Data notesPost-April-2026 snap-election pollingOnly Market Links has published since the vote
The forecast model
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 2 polls from 1 polling house, newest 2026-06-21. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 69 days old · no recent polling).
PB46.2%±1.1▲ +0.6
GERB15.5%±1.1▼ -0.1
PPDB14.0%±1.1▲ +0.3
Others13.6%±1.1▼ -0.4
DPS6.0%±1.1▼ -1.0
Vazrazhdane4.9%±1.1▲ +0.7
In this average · Market Links (for bTV). Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.