Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 4 polls from 1 polling house, newest 2026-06-14. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
LDP31.4%±1.9▼ -3.3
CRA14.3%±1.1▼ -0.2
DPFP8.2%±1.1▲ +1.3
SANSEI7.5%±1.1▲ +1.8
ISHIN6.0%±1.1▲ +0.9
JCP5.9%±1.1▼ -0.3
MIRAI5.3%±1.1▲ +1.3
CPJ4.1%±1.1▲ +0.2
REIWA1.8%±1.1▲ +0.3
SDP1.3%±1.1▲ +0.7
Others14.2%
In this average: Senkyo.com. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.