The forecast model
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 10 polls from 6 polling houses, newest 2026-06-12. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 78 days old · no recent polling).
DPK42.3%±2.4
PPP34.9%±4.0
RP2.8%±1.1
RKP2.6%±1.1
PP1.5%±1.1
Others15.9%
In this average · Flower Research, Gallup Korea, KIR, KSOI, NBS, Realmeter. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.