Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 10 polls from 8 polling houses, newest 2026-06-24. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
MORENA43.3%±7.3▲ +9.0
PAN13.3%±3.7▼ -0.2
PRI10.3%±1.8▲ +0.4
MC6.0%±3.0▼ -4.5
PT3.7%±2.1▲ +1.4
PVEM3.5%±1.8▼ -2.0
Others19.9%
In this average: Becerra Mizuno y Asociados, Buendia & Marquez, De las Heras Demotecnia, Electoralia, Enkoll, Gobernarte, Statistical Research Corporation, Varela y Asociados. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.