The forecast model
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 5 polls from 2 polling houses, newest 2026-06-26. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the shift between the two most recent polling windows (newest poll is 64 days old · no recent polling).
HDZ31.0%±1.4▼ -1.2
SDP23.3%±2.2▼ -0.3
Others16.5%±2.0▲ +1.4
Mozemo14.2%±1.1▲ +0.2
MOST9.2%±1.1▲ +0.3
DP3.1%±1.1
IDS1.7%±1.1▲ +0.2
HS1.3%±1.1▼ -0.2
In this average · Ipsos, Promocija plus. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.