São Tomé and Príncipe

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: ST CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast · what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.