Skip to content
The Margin★ Midterms 2026 · 124d
Model card

Pakistan

Pakistan: PTI leads the polling average on 31.2%, ahead of PMLN by 7.6 pts.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: PK CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast · what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Pakistan projection → · All methodology