Model card
Mali
Mali · Rally for Mali leads the poll average on 67.2%, ahead of Union for the Republic and Democracy by 34.4 pts.
What this model does
Data
Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: ML CSV.
Important caveat
This is a nowcast · what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.