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The MarginPolitics & Sport
Updated Aug 29
Model card

Central African Republic

Central African Republic · United Hearts Movement leads the poll average on 76.2%, ahead of Union for Central African Renewal by 61.5 pts.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: CF CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast · what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Central African Republic projection → · All methodology