Skip to content
The MarginPolitics & Sport
Updated Aug 29
Model card

Bolivia

Bolivia · Christian Democratic Party projected largest on 43 of 130 seats, 23 short of a majority.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: BO CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast · what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Bolivia projection → · All methodology