Skip to content
The Margin
Model card

Lithuania

Lithuania: LSDP leads the polling average on 28.0%, ahead of NA by 11.0 pts.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: LT CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast โ€” what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Lithuania projection โ†’ ยท All methodology