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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 12 polls from 3 pollsters, newest 2026-06-24. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
SDS27.5%±1.1▼ -0.1
GS26.4%±1.3▼ -1.1
NSi10.5%±1.1▲ +0.1
SD9.5%±1.1▲ +1.2
Levica8.7%±1.1▲ +1.3
Resni4.6%±1.1▲ +0.3
DEM4.2%±1.1▼ -0.1
In this average: IJEK, Mediana, Ninamedia. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.