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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 15 polls from 4 pollsters, newest 2026-06-28. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
S21.0%±1.1▼ -0.3
SF11.4%±1.1▼ -1.9
DF11.2%±1.1▲ +0.5
V10.1%±1.1▲ +0.7
LA9.6%±1.1▼ -0.1
K8.2%±1.1▼ -0.2
Enhl7.3%±1.1▲ +0.6
In this average: Epinion, Megafon, Verian, Voxmeter. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.