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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 12 polls from 7 pollsters, newest 2026-06-26. The ยฑ figure is a 95% between-poll band; โ–ฒโ–ผ is the 30-day move.
PP32.8%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.3
PSOE27.1%ยฑ1.1โ–ผ -0.9
Vox17.8%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.3
Sumar6.1%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.2
ERC1.9%ยฑ1.1
SALF1.9%ยฑ1.1โ–ผ -0.1
EHB1.4%ยฑ1.1
In this average: 40dB/Prisa, CIS, EM-Analytics/Electomanรญa, InvyMark/laSexta, Sigma Dos/El Mundo, SocioMรฉtrica/El Espaรฑol, Target Point/El Debate. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.