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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 13 polls from 5 pollsters, newest 2026-06-21. The ยฑ figure is a 95% between-poll band; โ–ฒโ–ผ is the 30-day move.
ANO32.3%ยฑ1.2โ–ผ -1.4
SPOLU19.4%ยฑ1.5โ–ฒ +0.3
STAN14.3%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.1
Pirรกti8.0%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.3
SPD7.4%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +0.2
Motoristรฉ5.1%ยฑ1.1โ–ฒ +1.1
STAC1.2%ยฑ1.1โ–ผ -0.8
In this average: Ipsos, Kantar/CT, Median, NMS Market Research, STEM. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.