Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 18 polls from 7 pollsters, newest 2026-05-14. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
AUR34.8%±2.6▼ -1.2
PSD20.0%±3.5▼ -0.2
PNL19.5%±1.6▲ +4.4
USR11.0%±2.0▼ -1.4
UDMR5.0%±1.1▲ +0.3
SOS3.0%±1.1▼ -0.5
POT2.1%±1.1▼ -0.8
In this average: ARP, Avangarde, CURS, INSCOP, IRES, Sociopol, USR. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.