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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 15 polls from 2 pollsters, newest 2026-06-15. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
SDP23.8%±1.1▼ -0.4
KOK17.6%±1.1▲ +0.4
KESK13.8%±1.1
PS13.6%±1.1
VAS11.2%±1.1▲ +0.2
VIHR8.8%±1.1▼ -0.4
RKP3.9%±1.1▲ +0.4
In this average: Taloustutkimus, Verian. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.