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The Margin

The daily desk

Where every race stands today — auto-compiled from the current poll averages. Subscribe by RSS.

United States Dem leads on 45.2%, ahead of Rep by 4.5. Biggest move: Dem -6.3.United Kingdom RUK leads on 27.0%, ahead of Con by 7.6.Germany AfD leads on 28.2%, ahead of Union by 6.5. Biggest move: Gru -0.9.France RN leads on 32.8%, ahead of NFP by 8.7. Biggest move: RN +2.7.Italy FdI leads on 27.9%, ahead of PD by 6.5. Biggest move: PD -0.7.Canada LPC leads on 43.0%, ahead of CPC by 9.9.Australia ALP leads on 53.6%, ahead of LNP by 7.2. Biggest move: ALP +3.0.

Generated 2026-06-30. Figures are estimates.