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The Margin
Share𝕏Bluesky
Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 4 polls from 4 pollsters, newest 2026-06-29. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
KO31.4%±1.1▼ -1.6
PiS25.0%±1.1▼ -1.0
Konf12.6%±1.1▼ -1.5
KKP8.0%±1.1▼ -0.1
Lewica7.5%±1.1▼ -0.5
PSL3.1%±1.1
PL20501.6%±1.1
In this average: DawidStats, Europe Elects, Politico, ewybory.eu. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.