Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 12 polls from 6 pollsters, newest 2026-06-26. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
S32.2%±1.1▼ -0.5
SD19.3%±1.1▲ +0.1
M17.2%±1.1▼ -0.7
V8.1%±1.1▲ +0.1
MP6.8%±1.1▲ +0.1
C6.4%±1.1▲ +0.2
KD5.9%±1.1▲ +1.0
In this average: Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, Novus, SCB, Verian. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.