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The Margin
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Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 15 polls from 4 pollsters, newest 2026-06-18. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
FPOe37.2%±1.1▼ -0.2
OeVP20.4%±1.2▼ -0.5
SPOe17.8%±1.1▲ +0.2
Gruene11.5%±1.1▲ +0.5
NEOS8.0%±1.1▲ +0.2
KPOe3.2%±1.1▼ -0.2
In this average: INSA, Market-Lazarsfeld, OGM, Unique Research. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.