Polling average
Recency-weighted (10-day half-life) across 10 polls from 2 pollsters, newest 2026-06-15. The ± figure is a 95% between-poll band; ▲▼ is the 30-day move.
GL-PvdA16.4%±1.1▲ +0.6
VVD13.6%±1.1▼ -0.8
D6612.6%±1.1▲ +1.0
PVV11.0%±2.0▼ -2.9
CDA9.5%±1.1▼ -0.8
JA219.0%±1.1▲ +1.3
FvD8.1%±1.1▲ +1.7
In this average: Ipsos I&O, Verian. Polls are unweighted by sample size (vendor sizes aren't published in our feed). Estimates, not forecasts.