Skip to content
The Margin
Model card

Switzerland

Switzerland: UDC leads the polling average on 30.1%, ahead of PS by 11.8 pts.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: CH CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast โ€” what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Switzerland projection โ†’ ยท All methodology