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The Margin
Model card

Austria

Austria: FPOe leads the polling average on 37.5%, ahead of OeVP by 17.4 pts.

What this model does

Data

Recent public polls, recency-weighted into a national average and refreshed daily. Download the raw recent polls: AT CSV.

Important caveat

This is a nowcast โ€” what current polling implies if an election were held now, not a prediction of a future result. It carries real uncertainty; where shown, the 9-in-10 seat range and probability come from simulating polling error.

Open the full Austria projection โ†’ ยท All methodology