Forecast — The Margin

Skip to content

Politics Sport Calendar Methodology About

🇺🇸US 🇬🇧GB 🇩🇪DE 🇫🇷FR 🇮🇹IT 🇨🇦CA 🇦🇺AU

Share𝕏 Bluesky

The Margin

Every race, by the numbers — free, daily, no paywall.Data & API Daily digest & RSS

Elections

United States United Kingdom Germany France Italy Canada Australia

Sport

Sport hub MLB NFL World Cup 2026

More

European Parliament Provinces & states US midterms by state Elections calendar Methodology About Embed a chart

The Margin publishes nowcasts — what current polling implies if an election were held now, not predictions of a future result. Figures are estimates from public data; sources are cited on each page. Updated daily.