{"iso":"ZA","name":"South Africa","flag":"\ud83c\uddff\ud83c\udde6","vote":"National Assembly \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-03-06","source":"Average of the four most recent national party-support polls","credit":"National party-support polls by the Social Research Foundation, Ipsos and the Institute of Race Relations, compiled from the public polling record. Poll dates are the end of fieldwork. Some 2025 and 2026 fieldwork was framed around the 2026 local elections. Smaller parties and undecided voters are not shown.","shares":{"ANC":38.5,"DA":27.5,"MK":10.0,"EFF":6.4,"IFP":4.7},"polls":[{"date":"2026-03-06","pollster":"Social Research Foundation","shares":{"ANC":39.0,"DA":28.0,"MK":10.0,"EFF":6.0,"IFP":5.0}},{"date":"2026-01-31","pollster":"Ipsos","shares":{"ANC":33.0,"DA":22.0,"MK":10.0,"EFF":11.0,"IFP":2.0}},{"date":"2025-11-14","pollster":"Social Research Foundation","shares":{"ANC":37.0,"DA":32.0,"MK":8.0,"EFF":7.0,"IFP":6.0}},{"date":"2025-06-30","pollster":"Social Research Foundation","shares":{"ANC":40.0,"DA":26.0,"MK":18.0,"EFF":3.0,"IFP":3.0}},{"date":"2025-04-30","pollster":"Institute of Race Relations","shares":{"ANC":29.7,"DA":30.3,"MK":15.9,"EFF":10.2,"IFP":1.7}},{"date":"2025-02-28","pollster":"Social Research Foundation","shares":{"ANC":32.0,"DA":25.0,"MK":12.0,"EFF":6.0,"IFP":3.0}},{"date":"2024-10-31","pollster":"Institute of Race Relations","shares":{"ANC":41.3,"DA":22.3,"MK":11.6,"EFF":6.9,"IFP":5.5}},{"date":"2024-09-30","pollster":"Social Research Foundation","shares":{"ANC":45.0,"DA":24.0,"MK":12.0,"EFF":6.0,"IFP":5.0}}],"parties":{"ANC":{"name":"African National Congress","color":"#006600"},"DA":{"name":"Democratic Alliance","color":"#005BA6"},"MK":{"name":"uMkhonto weSizwe","color":"#56AA48"},"EFF":{"name":"Economic Freedom Fighters","color":"#852A2A"},"IFP":{"name":"Inkatha Freedom Party","color":"#FF0000"}},"seats":{"ANC":177,"DA":127,"MK":46,"EFF":29,"IFP":21},"seat_meta":{"total":400,"majority":201,"method":"dhondt","threshold":0.0,"chamber":"National Assembly","note":"Closed-list PR with no legal threshold (natural quota ~0.25%), really half national and half provincial lists allocated by largest-remainder Droop; approximated here as one national pool via highest-averages.","largest":"ANC"},"primer":{"system":"Parliamentary republic in which the National Assembly elects the president","head_of_state":"President Cyril Ramaphosa","legislature":"Parliament, bicameral. The National Assembly has 400 members elected every five years, alongside the National Council of Provinces.","electoral_system":"National Assembly members are elected by party-list proportional representation, half from provincial lists and half from national compensatory lists.","government_now":"The ANC leads a government of national unity with the Democratic Alliance, Inkatha Freedom Party and Patriotic Alliance, agreed on 14 June 2024, with Ramaphosa re-elected president.","context":"At the May 2024 election the ANC lost the outright majority it had held since 1994, remaining the largest party ahead of the DA and Jacob Zuma's new uMkhonto we Sizwe party.","sources":"Cross-checked against the English-language MediaWiki encyclopedic record via its public API, 2 July 2026."},"parties_info":{"ANC":["African National Congress","","Centre-left liberation movement that has governed since 1994; lost its majority in 2024 and now leads a coalition government of national unity with 159 seats."],"DA":["Democratic Alliance","","Centre-right liberal party, long the main opposition; now the second-largest party and a partner in the unity government with 87 seats."],"MK":["uMkhonto weSizwe","Spear of the Nation","Left-populist party launched by former president Jacob Zuma in 2023; surged to 58 seats, mostly in KwaZulu-Natal, and sits in opposition."],"EFF":["Economic Freedom Fighters","","Radical-left party led by Julius Malema urging nationalisation and land expropriation; in opposition with 39 seats."],"IFP":["Inkatha Freedom Party","","Zulu-nationalist, socially conservative party based in KwaZulu-Natal; a partner in the unity government with 17 seats."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"National Assembly","as_of":"2024 election","total":400,"seats":{"ANC":159,"DA":87,"MK":58,"EFF":39,"IFP":17}},"region_winners":{"Northern Cape":"ANC","KwaZulu-Natal":"MK","Free State":"ANC","Eastern Cape":"ANC","Limpopo":"ANC","North West":"ANC","Mpumalanga":"ANC","Western Cape":"DA","Gauteng":"ANC"},"region_meta":{"election":"2024 South African general election (National Assembly)","source":"IEC official results (2024 South African general election), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Leading party per province in the National Assembly. ANC led 7 provinces; MK plurality in KwaZulu-Natal; DA majority in Western Cape."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2026-11-04","title":"South African municipal elections","chamber":"Municipal councils","type":"scheduled"}}