{"iso":"TR","name":"Turkey","flag":"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7","vote":"Grand National Assembly \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-14","source":"Mean of the last 7 dated national vote-intention polls","credit":"Vote-intention surveys by Asal, AREA, Gundemar, Optimar, SAROS and BETIMAR, spanning pro-government and opposition-aligned houses, compiled from the public polling record. Data note, Turkish elections are competitive but the playing field is uneven, with heavy government influence over media and the courts, and international observers rate Turkey a hybrid regime. The next general election is due by May 2028.","shares":{"AKP":32.4,"CHP":30.5,"MHP":7.8,"IYI":6.3,"DEM":9.2,"YRP":2.9,"ZP":3.5,"TIP":1.6,"AP":3.1},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-14","pollster":"Asal","shares":{"AKP":33.1,"CHP":30.9,"MHP":8.3,"IYI":5.8,"DEM":9.2,"YRP":2.9,"ZP":2.9,"TIP":1.3,"AP":3.2}},{"date":"2026-06-09","pollster":"AREA","shares":{"AKP":32.3,"CHP":30.7,"MHP":7.2,"IYI":6.3,"DEM":9.3,"YRP":2.7,"ZP":3.2,"TIP":2.1,"AP":3.4}},{"date":"2026-05-27","pollster":"Gundemar","shares":{"AKP":28.1,"CHP":31.9,"MHP":6.1,"IYI":6.3,"DEM":8.4,"YRP":3.5,"ZP":6.5,"TIP":1.5,"AP":4.2}},{"date":"2026-05-25","pollster":"Optimar","shares":{"AKP":35.2,"CHP":26.0,"MHP":9.6,"IYI":8.8,"DEM":10.0,"YRP":2.6,"ZP":3.2,"AP":0.6}},{"date":"2026-04-27","pollster":"SAROS","shares":{"AKP":31.9,"CHP":28.9,"MHP":8.2,"IYI":7.1,"DEM":8.6,"YRP":4.3,"ZP":3.4,"TIP":1.8,"AP":2.1}},{"date":"2026-04-26","pollster":"Gundemar","shares":{"AKP":28.6,"CHP":36.1,"MHP":7.4,"IYI":5.2,"DEM":8.6,"YRP":2.0,"ZP":5.0,"TIP":0.8,"AP":3.1}},{"date":"2026-04-20","pollster":"BETIMAR","shares":{"AKP":34.6,"CHP":28.6,"MHP":7.7,"IYI":5.6,"DEM":8.8,"YRP":3.3,"ZP":3.4,"TIP":1.4,"AP":4.2}}],"parties":{"AKP":{"name":"AK Parti (Adalet ve Kalk\u0131nma Partisi)","color":"#FDA000","name_en":"Justice and Development Party"},"CHP":{"name":"Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi","color":"#ED1C24","name_en":"Republican People's Party"},"MHP":{"name":"Milliyet\u00e7i Hareket Partisi","color":"#C83737","name_en":"Nationalist Movement Party"},"IYI":{"name":"\u0130Y\u0130 Parti","color":"#3DB5E6","name_en":"Good Party"},"DEM":{"name":"DEM Parti (Halklar\u0131n E\u015fitlik ve Demokrasi Partisi)","color":"#734B9C","name_en":"Peoples' Equality and Democracy Party"},"YRP":{"name":"Yeniden Refah Partisi","color":"#474647","name_en":"New Welfare Party"},"ZP":{"name":"Zafer Partisi","color":"#373736","name_en":"Victory Party"},"TIP":{"name":"T\u00fcrkiye \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi","color":"#BE0A11","name_en":"Workers' Party of Turkey"},"AP":{"name":"Anahtar Parti","color":"#072654","name_en":"Anahtar Party"}},"seats":{"AKP":244,"CHP":229,"MHP":58,"DEM":69},"seat_meta":{"total":600,"majority":301,"method":"dhondt","threshold":7.0,"chamber":"Grand National Assembly","note":"Real system is closed-list D'Hondt PR across 87 districts with a 7% national threshold that alliances can share; approximated as one national D'Hondt pool, so district effects and alliance threshold-sharing are not modelled.","largest":"AKP"},"primer":{"system":"Presidential republic","head_of_state":"President Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan","legislature":"Grand National Assembly, unicameral, 600 members elected for five-year terms.","electoral_system":"Members are elected by closed-list proportional representation using the D'Hondt method with a 7 percent threshold that alliances can share.","government_now":"Erdo\u011fan won a five-year term in the first-ever presidential runoff in May 2023 as candidate of the People's Alliance, which his AKP leads with the Nationalist Movement Party.","context":"The May 2023 elections were held shortly after the deadly February 2023 earthquake. Erdo\u011fan defeated Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu, the joint candidate of a six-party opposition alliance, in the runoff.","sources":"Cross-checked against the English-language MediaWiki encyclopedic record via its public API, 2 July 2026."},"parties_info":{"AKP":["AK Parti (Adalet ve Kalk\u0131nma Partisi)","Justice and Development Party","Right-wing conservative, Islamist-rooted party of President Erdo\u011fan; in power since 2002 and leader of the governing People's Alliance."],"CHP":["Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi","Republican People's Party","Centre-left, secularist and Kemalist; Turkey's oldest party and the main opposition, it topped the 2024 local elections."],"MHP":["Milliyet\u00e7i Hareket Partisi","Nationalist Movement Party","Far-right Turkish nationalist party; junior partner in Erdo\u011fan's governing People's Alliance."],"IYI":["\u0130Y\u0130 Parti","Good Party","Centre-right nationalist party that split from the MHP in 2017; secular and pro-Western, it sits in opposition."],"DEM":["DEM Parti (Halklar\u0131n E\u015fitlik ve Demokrasi Partisi)","Peoples' Equality and Democracy Party","Left-wing, pro-Kurdish party and successor to the HDP; the third-largest bloc, it won its 2023 seats under the Green Left Party label and is in opposition."],"YRP":["Yeniden Refah Partisi","New Welfare Party","Islamist, socially conservative party led by a son of Necmettin Erbakan; a small opposition force that surged in the 2024 local elections."],"ZP":["Zafer Partisi","Victory Party","Far-right, ultranationalist and strongly anti-immigration party led by \u00dcmit \u00d6zda\u011f; currently extra-parliamentary with no seats."],"TIP":["T\u00fcrkiye \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi","Workers' Party of Turkey","Socialist left party; a small opposition group aligned with the pro-Kurdish left."],"AP":["Anahtar Parti","Key Party","New party founded in 2024 by former Good Party figure Yavuz A\u011f\u0131ralio\u011flu; nationalist-leaning but pitches itself as centrist and solution-oriented, and is extra-parliamentary."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Grand National Assembly","as_of":"2023 election","total":600,"seats":{"AKP":268,"CHP":169,"DEM":61,"MHP":50,"IYI":43,"YRP":5,"TIP":4,"ZP":0,"AP":0}},"region_winners":{"\u015e\u0131rnak":"DEM","Hakk\u00e2ri":"DEM","Diyarbak\u0131r":"DEM","Batman":"DEM","Mardin":"DEM","A\u011fr\u0131":"DEM","Van":"DEM","Mu\u015f":"DEM","Siirt":"DEM","Bitlis":"DEM","I\u011fd\u0131r":"DEM","Tunceli":"DEM","Kars":"DEM","\u0130zmir":"CHP","Mu\u011fla":"CHP","Ayd\u0131n":"CHP","Tekirda\u011f":"CHP","Edirne":"CHP","K\u0131rklareli":"CHP","\u00c7anakkale":"CHP","Istanbul":"AKP","Konya":"AKP","Kayseri":"AKP","Yozgat":"AKP","Sivas":"AKP","\u00c7orum":"AKP","\u00c7ank\u0131r\u0131":"AKP","K\u0131r\u015fehir":"AKP","Nev\u015fehir":"AKP","Ni\u011fde":"AKP","Aksaray":"AKP","Karaman":"AKP","Kahramanmara\u015f":"AKP","Ad\u0131yaman":"AKP","Elaz\u0131\u011f":"AKP","Malatya":"AKP","Bing\u00f6l":"AKP","Erzincan":"AKP","Erzurum":"AKP","Bayburt":"AKP","G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fhane":"AKP","Rize":"AKP","Trabzon":"AKP","\u015eanl\u0131urfa":"AKP","Gaziantep":"AKP","Kilis":"AKP","K\u0131r\u0131kkale":"AKP","Bursa":"AKP","Sakarya":"AKP","Kocaeli":"AKP","Samsun":"AKP","Ordu":"AKP","Giresun":"AKP","Kastamonu":"AKP","Tokat":"AKP","Afyonkarahisar":"AKP","K\u00fctahya":"AKP","Isparta":"AKP","D\u00fczce":"AKP"},"region_meta":{"election":"2023 Grand National Assembly election (14 May 2023)","source":"Official results as published by the Supreme Election Council (YSK)","note":"Provinces are shaded by the party that led the party-list vote; the pro-Kurdish Green Left Party, which now contests as the DEM Party (the code used here), led 13 southeastern provinces, the CHP led its Aegean and Thracian bastions, and the AKP led its central Anatolian, inner Black Sea and conservative eastern heartland; competitive coastal and urban provinces such as Ankara, Eski\u015fehir, Antalya, Mersin, Adana and Hatay are left unshaded where the leading party is not established here with confidence (partial coverage)."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2028-05","title":"Turkish general election (expected)","chamber":"Grand National Assembly & presidency","type":"expected"}}