{"iso":"RS","name":"Serbia","flag":"\ud83c\uddf7\ud83c\uddf8","vote":"National Assembly \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-26","source":"Faktor Plus, June 2026, latest published poll (polling is sparse)","credit":"Recent Serbian voting-intention polls by Faktor Plus and Ipsos, compiled from the public polling record ahead of a parliamentary election due by 31 December 2027. Data note, Serbia is commonly rated a hybrid regime. Elections are competitive but the playing field is uneven, with governing-party dominance of media and state resources reported by international observers. The student-backed list is new and untested at the ballot box.","shares":{"SNS":47.1,"STU":30.7,"SPS":5.0,"SSP":4.5,"SRCE":3.8,"MI":3.0,"NADA":2.2,"KP":1.8,"NPS":3.4,"DS":2.1,"ZLF":2.1},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-26","pollster":"Faktor Plus","shares":{"SNS":47.1,"STU":30.7,"SPS":5.0,"SSP":4.5,"SRCE":3.8,"MI":3.0,"NADA":2.2}},{"date":"2026-04-30","pollster":"Faktor Plus","shares":{"SNS":46.4,"STU":28.7,"SPS":5.0,"MI":3.0,"NADA":2.5,"KP":1.8}},{"date":"2025-09-02","pollster":"Ipsos","shares":{"SNS":48.2,"SPS":5.3,"SSP":5.0,"KP":6.2,"NPS":3.3,"MI":2.9,"DS":2.1,"ZLF":2.0,"SRCE":0.9,"NADA":3.0}},{"date":"2025-08-02","pollster":"Faktor Plus","shares":{"SNS":47.8,"SPS":7.3,"SSP":4.4,"MI":4.2,"NPS":4.2,"KP":3.8,"NADA":2.9,"ZLF":2.5,"DS":2.2,"SRCE":1.5}}],"parties":{"SNS":{"name":"Srpska napredna stranka (SNS)","color":"#242970","name_en":"Serbian Progressive Party led coalition"},"STU":{"name":"Studentska lista","color":"#808080","name_en":"Student list"},"SPS":{"name":"Socijalisti\u010dka partija Srbije (SPS)","color":"#A60C19","name_en":"Socialist Party of Serbia (with United Serbia)"},"SSP":{"name":"Stranka slobode i pravde (SSP)","color":"#DB2927","name_en":"Party of Freedom and Justice"},"SRCE":{"name":"Srbija Centar (SRCE)","color":"#364FA3","name_en":"Serbia Centre"},"NPS":{"name":"Narodni pokret Srbije (NPS)","color":"#235FCF","name_en":"People's Movement of Serbia"},"ZLF":{"name":"Zeleno-levi front (ZLF)","color":"#015E50","name_en":"Green-Left Front"},"DS":{"name":"Demokratska stranka (DS)","color":"#FFF500","name_en":"Democratic Party"},"NADA":{"name":"Nacionalno demokratska alternativa (NADA)","color":"#616264","name_en":"National Democratic Alternative (NADA)"},"MI":{"name":"Mi \u2013 Glas iz naroda","color":"#1B3160","name_en":"We, Power of the People"},"KP":{"name":"Kreni-Promeni","color":"#FDB913"}},"seats":{"SNS":122,"STU":80,"SPS":13,"SSP":11,"SRCE":9,"MI":7,"NPS":8},"seat_meta":{"total":250,"majority":126,"method":"dhondt","threshold":3.0,"chamber":"National Assembly","note":"Single nationwide D'Hondt district with a 3% threshold; the single-national-pool model matches the real system closely, though the ethnic-minority threshold waiver is not modelled.","largest":"SNS"},"primer":{"system":"Unitary parliamentary republic","head_of_state":"President Aleksandar Vu\u010di\u0107","head_of_government":"Prime Minister \u0110uro Macut","legislature":"National Assembly, 250 seats, elected for four-year terms","electoral_system":"Party-list proportional representation with a 3 percent threshold.","government_now":"A coalition built around the Serbian Progressive Party, led by Prime Minister Macut since April 2025, holds 136 of 250 seats.","context":"The Progressive Party has governed since 2012 with President Vu\u010di\u0107 the dominant figure. Anti-corruption protests forced prime minister Milo\u0161 Vu\u010devi\u0107's resignation in January 2025, and Macut took over in April. The next election is due by the end of 2027.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders, parliament and cabinet \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"SNS":["Srpska napredna stranka (SNS)","Serbian Progressive Party","Dominant catch-all populist party of President Aleksandar Vu\u010di\u0107, nominally national-conservative and pro-EU while keeping close ties to Moscow and Beijing; has led government since 2012 and heads the current coalition."],"STU":["Studentska lista","Student list","New protest movement born of the 2024-25 student anti-corruption blockades; anti-Vu\u010di\u0107 and reform-minded, untested at a national election."],"SPS":["Socijalisti\u010dka partija Srbije (SPS)","Socialist Party of Serbia","Left-nationalist party founded by Slobodan Milo\u0161evi\u0107, now led by Ivica Da\u010di\u0107; long-standing junior coalition partner of the governing Progressives."],"SSP":["Stranka slobode i pravde (SSP)","Party of Freedom and Justice","Centre-left, pro-EU opposition party led by former Belgrade mayor Dragan \u0110ilas; a pillar of the anti-Vu\u010di\u0107 opposition and core of the 2023 Serbia Against Violence bloc."],"SRCE":["Srbija Centar (SRCE)","Serbia Centre","Liberal, pro-European centrist opposition party formed in 2022 around Zdravko Pono\u0161; part of the 2023 Serbia Against Violence bloc."],"NPS":["Narodni pokret Srbije (NPS)","People's Movement of Serbia","Centre-right, pro-EU opposition party founded in 2023 by Miroslav Aleksi\u0107; part of the Serbia Against Violence bloc."],"ZLF":["Zeleno-levi front (ZLF)","Green-Left Front","Left-wing green party rooted in environmental and anti-corruption protest movements; part of the progressive opposition within the Serbia Against Violence bloc."],"DS":["Demokratska stranka (DS)","Democratic Party","Historic centre-left liberal party that governed Serbia in the 2000s; now much diminished and in opposition."],"NADA":["Nacionalno demokratska alternativa (NADA)","National Democratic Alternative","Right-wing conservative and pro-monarchy opposition bloc (New DSS and POKS), nationalist and Eurosceptic; led by Milo\u0161 Jovanovi\u0107."],"MI":["Mi \u2013 Glas iz naroda","We - Voice of the People","Populist, anti-establishment and pro-Russian-leaning list built around maverick doctor Branimir Nestorovi\u0107; surprise entrant to parliament in 2023."],"KP":["Kreni-Promeni","Move-Change","Green-liberal anti-corruption movement led by Neboj\u0161a Zelenovi\u0107; opposition, currently below the threshold and outside parliament."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"National Assembly (Narodna skup\u0161tina)","as_of":"2023 election","total":250,"seats":{"SNS":129,"SPS":18,"NADA":13,"MI":13,"SSP":16,"STU":0,"KP":0}},"has_geo":true,"geo_meta":{"kind":"admin1","source":"Natural Earth 10m admin-1 states/provinces (nvkelso/natural-earth-vector), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Region set and any internationally-disputed territories follow the Natural Earth source dataset. Far overseas/outlying territories may fall outside the primary map frame."},"next_election":{"date":"2027-12","title":"Serbian parliamentary election (due by 31 December 2027, may be earlier)","chamber":"National Assembly","type":"expected"}}