{"iso":"PT","name":"Portugal","flag":"\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9","vote":"Assembleia \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-25","source":"Opinion polling for the next Portuguese legislative election","credit":"Recent Portuguese national voting-intention polls compiled from the public polling record, 'Opinion polling for the next Portuguese legislative election' (vote-share table; Aximage, Intercampus, ICS/ISCTE, Pitagorica, CESOP-UCP). PAN, JPP and Others columns dropped (not in party map).","shares":{"AD":24.5,"PS":29.1,"CH":23.3,"IL":6.7,"L":5.8,"CDU":2.5,"BE":2.0},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-25","pollster":"Aximage","shares":{"AD":25.3,"PS":29.3,"CH":23.6,"IL":6.5,"L":5.8,"CDU":1.6,"BE":1.5}},{"date":"2026-06-16","pollster":"Intercampus","shares":{"AD":22.4,"PS":27.9,"CH":23.3,"IL":7.8,"L":6.5,"CDU":3.4,"BE":2.9}},{"date":"2026-05-24","pollster":"ICS/ISCTE","shares":{"AD":27.0,"PS":31.0,"CH":20.0,"IL":3.0,"L":3.0,"CDU":5.0,"BE":2.0}},{"date":"2026-05-19","pollster":"Aximage","shares":{"AD":23.2,"PS":33.4,"CH":23.5,"IL":6.3,"L":4.7,"CDU":2.4,"BE":1.3}},{"date":"2026-05-14","pollster":"Intercampus","shares":{"AD":25.6,"PS":26.4,"CH":21.6,"IL":7.8,"L":5.8,"CDU":4.0,"BE":4.0}},{"date":"2026-05-07","pollster":"Aximage","shares":{"AD":25.1,"PS":31.0,"CH":25.0,"IL":5.6,"L":3.6,"CDU":2.1,"BE":1.4}},{"date":"2026-04-15","pollster":"Aximage","shares":{"AD":24.3,"PS":30.6,"CH":23.6,"IL":7.0,"L":5.8,"CDU":2.5,"BE":0.8}},{"date":"2026-04-14","pollster":"Intercampus","shares":{"AD":23.7,"PS":26.9,"CH":21.9,"IL":8.3,"L":6.1,"CDU":4.5,"BE":3.0}},{"date":"2026-03-08","pollster":"ICS/ISCTE","shares":{"AD":29.0,"PS":29.0,"CH":25.0,"IL":5.0,"L":2.0,"CDU":4.0,"BE":2.0}},{"date":"2026-03-03","pollster":"Aximage","shares":{"AD":26.6,"PS":27.0,"CH":25.8,"IL":7.4,"L":4.2,"CDU":2.7,"BE":0.9}},{"date":"2026-01-13","pollster":"Intercampus","shares":{"AD":26.3,"PS":23.4,"CH":25.1,"IL":9.4,"L":7.6,"CDU":2.2,"BE":1.8}},{"date":"2025-12-19","pollster":"Pitag\u00f3rica","shares":{"AD":29.7,"PS":23.1,"CH":22.6,"IL":7.3,"L":7.3,"CDU":2.6,"BE":1.3}}],"parties":{"BE":{"name":"Bloco de Esquerda","color":"#b5121b","name_en":"Left Bloc"},"CDU":{"name":"Coliga\u00e7\u00e3o Democr\u00e1tica Unit\u00e1ria (PCP-PEV)","color":"#c8102e","name_en":"Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP-PEV)"},"PS":{"name":"Partido Socialista","color":"#f25c8a","name_en":"Socialist Party"},"L":{"name":"Livre","color":"#7ec24a","name_en":"LIVRE"},"AD":{"name":"Alian\u00e7a Democr\u00e1tica (PSD/CDS)","color":"#f57f29","name_en":"Democratic Alliance (PSD-CDS)"},"IL":{"name":"Iniciativa Liberal","color":"#00aeef","name_en":"Liberal Initiative"},"CH":{"name":"Chega","color":"#202d6b"}},"seats":{"AD":60,"PS":72,"CH":58,"IL":16,"L":14,"CDU":6,"BE":4},"seat_meta":{"total":230,"majority":116,"method":"dhondt","threshold":0.0,"chamber":"Assembleia da Rep\u00fablica","note":"Real system is 22 D'Hondt districts (no legal threshold); approximated as one national D'Hondt pool.","largest":"PS"},"primer":{"system":"Unitary semi-presidential republic","head_of_state":"President Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro","head_of_government":"Prime Minister Lu\u00eds Montenegro","legislature":"Assembly of the Republic, 230 seats, elected for four-year terms","electoral_system":"Closed district party lists convert votes into seats proportionally by the D'Hondt method.","government_now":"Lu\u00eds Montenegro's Social Democrats govern with the CDS People's Party as a minority administration holding 91 of 230 seats.","context":"The May 2025 snap vote was Portugal's third general election in about three years, and the far-right Chega became the largest opposition party with 60 seats, overtaking the Socialists. Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro won the presidency in early 2026.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders, parliament and cabinet \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"AD":["Alian\u00e7a Democr\u00e1tica (PSD/CDS)","Democratic Alliance","Centre-right PSD\u2013CDS alliance; won the May 2025 election \u00b7 PM Lu\u00eds Montenegro leads a minority government."],"CH":["Chega","Enough!","Right-wing populist, far-right; became the second-largest party and main opposition in 2025."],"PS":["Partido Socialista","Socialist Party","Centre-left social democratic; suffered one of its worst defeats in 2025."],"IL":["Iniciativa Liberal","Liberal Initiative","Classical-liberal, pro-market."],"L":["Livre","Free","Green left-wing, pro-European."],"BE":["Bloco de Esquerda","Left Bloc","Left-wing populist, democratic socialist."],"CDU":["Coliga\u00e7\u00e3o Democr\u00e1tica Unit\u00e1ria (PCP-PEV)","Unitary Democratic Coalition","Electoral coalition of the Communist Party and the Greens."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Assembly of the Republic","as_of":"2025 election","total":230,"seats":{"AD":91,"CH":60,"PS":58,"IL":9,"L":6,"CDU":3,"BE":1}},"region_winners":{"Regi\u00e3o Aut\u00f3noma da Madeira":"AD","Regi\u00e3o Aut\u00f3noma dos A\u00e7ores":"AD","AVEIRO":"AD","BEJA":"CH","BRAGA":"AD","BRAGAN\u00c7A":"AD","CASTELO BRANCO":"AD","COIMBRA":"AD","\u00c9VORA":"PS","FARO":"CH","GUARDA":"AD","LEIRIA":"AD","LISBOA":"AD","PORTALEGRE":"CH","PORTO":"AD","SANTAR\u00c9M":"AD","SET\u00daBAL":"CH","VIANA DO CASTELO":"AD","VILA REAL":"AD","VISEU":"AD"},"region_meta":{"election":"2025 legislative election","source":"2025 Portuguese legislative election (by constituency, MAI)","note":null},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2029-10","title":"Portuguese legislative election (by Oct 2029)","chamber":"Assembleia da Rep\u00fablica","type":"expected"}}