{"iso":"NZ","name":"New Zealand","flag":"\ud83c\uddf3\ud83c\uddff","vote":"House of Representatives party vote \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-21","source":"Mean of the last 8 national party-vote polls","credit":"Party-vote polls by Roy Morgan, Verian for 1 News, Talbot Mills, Freshwater Strategy for The Post and Taxpayers' Union-Curia, compiled from the public polling record. The general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026.","shares":{"NAT":29.8,"LAB":30.7,"GRN":12.4,"ACT":7.8,"NZF":11.3,"TPM":2.5,"TOP":4.9},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-21","pollster":"Roy Morgan","shares":{"NAT":31.0,"LAB":25.5,"GRN":13.5,"ACT":9.5,"NZF":10.5,"TPM":3.0,"TOP":6.5}},{"date":"2026-06-17","pollster":"1 News-Verian","shares":{"NAT":29.0,"LAB":32.0,"GRN":13.0,"ACT":6.0,"NZF":11.0,"TPM":1.8,"TOP":4.6}},{"date":"2026-06-11","pollster":"The Post-Freshwater Strategy","shares":{"NAT":29.0,"LAB":35.0,"GRN":10.0,"ACT":8.0,"NZF":12.0,"TPM":2.0}},{"date":"2026-06-10","pollster":"Talbot Mills","shares":{"NAT":29.0,"LAB":34.0,"GRN":13.0,"ACT":6.0,"NZF":12.0,"TPM":2.6,"TOP":3.3}},{"date":"2026-06-08","pollster":"Taxpayers' Union-Curia","shares":{"NAT":30.1,"LAB":32.2,"GRN":11.5,"ACT":7.8,"NZF":11.4,"TPM":3.1,"TOP":3.2}},{"date":"2026-05-24","pollster":"Roy Morgan","shares":{"NAT":30.5,"LAB":26.5,"GRN":12.5,"ACT":10.0,"NZF":11.0,"TPM":2.5,"TOP":6.0}},{"date":"2026-05-10","pollster":"Talbot Mills","shares":{"NAT":29.0,"LAB":36.0,"GRN":9.0,"ACT":7.0,"NZF":14.0,"TPM":2.0}},{"date":"2026-05-07","pollster":"Taxpayers' Union-Curia","shares":{"NAT":30.0,"LAB":31.9,"GRN":9.7,"ACT":6.5,"NZF":11.7,"TPM":4.1,"TOP":2.8}},{"date":"2026-04-26","pollster":"Roy Morgan","shares":{"NAT":25.5,"LAB":34.0,"GRN":11.0,"ACT":10.5,"NZF":11.5,"TPM":3.0,"TOP":4.0}},{"date":"2026-04-16","pollster":"Talbot Mills","shares":{"NAT":29.0,"LAB":36.0,"GRN":7.0,"ACT":8.0,"NZF":15.0,"TPM":1.9,"TOP":2.3}},{"date":"2026-04-15","pollster":"1 News-Verian","shares":{"NAT":30.0,"LAB":37.0,"GRN":11.0,"ACT":7.0,"NZF":10.0,"TPM":1.5,"TOP":3.3}}],"parties":{"NAT":{"name":"National Party","color":"#00529F"},"LAB":{"name":"Labour Party","color":"#D82A20"},"GRN":{"name":"Green Party","color":"#098137"},"ACT":{"name":"ACT New Zealand","color":"#FDE401"},"NZF":{"name":"New Zealand First","color":"#000000"},"TPM":{"name":"Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori","color":"#B2001A","name_en":"Te Pati Maori"},"TOP":{"name":"The Opportunities Party","color":"#09B598"}},"seats":{"NAT":39,"LAB":40,"GRN":16,"ACT":10,"NZF":15},"seat_meta":{"total":120,"majority":61,"method":"sainte","threshold":5.0,"chamber":"House of Representatives","note":"Mixed-member proportional (Sainte-Lague party-vote allocation, 5% threshold or one electorate win); because MMP is compensatory the national party-vote pool closely tracks total seats, though electorate wins and overhangs are not modelled.","largest":"LAB"},"primer":{"system":"Parliamentary constitutional monarchy","head_of_state":"King Charles III, represented by Governor-General Dame Cindy Kiro","head_of_government":"Prime Minister Christopher Luxon","legislature":"House of Representatives, unicameral, normally 120 members (currently 123 with overhang seats) elected about every three years.","electoral_system":"Members are elected by mixed-member proportional representation combining single-member electorates with closed party lists.","government_now":"The National Party under Luxon governs in coalition with ACT and New Zealand First, formed after the October 2023 election.","context":"The 2023 election ended six years of Labour government, with Labour suffering the worst defeat of a sitting government of the proportional era. The next general election is planned for 7 November 2026.","sources":"Cross-checked against the English-language MediaWiki encyclopedic record via its public API, 2 July 2026."},"parties_info":{"NAT":["National Party","","Centre-right liberal-conservative, pro-business party; leads the current government under PM Christopher Luxon in coalition with ACT and NZ First."],"LAB":["Labour Party","","Centre-left social democrats; governed 2017-2023 under Ardern then Hipkins, now the main opposition."],"GRN":["Green Party","","Left-wing environmentalist party focused on climate and social justice; in opposition."],"ACT":["ACT New Zealand","","Right-wing classical-liberal/libertarian party favouring free markets and deregulation; junior partner in the governing coalition."],"NZF":["New Zealand First","","Populist, nationalist and economically interventionist party led by Winston Peters; junior coalition partner and frequent kingmaker."],"TPM":["Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori","M\u0101ori Party","Left-wing party championing M\u0101ori rights and indigenous self-determination; in opposition."],"TOP":["The Opportunities Party","","Centrist, evidence-based policy party (tax and economic reform); minor party with no seats in Parliament."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"House of Representatives","as_of":"2023 election","total":123,"seats":{"NAT":49,"LAB":34,"GRN":15,"ACT":11,"NZF":8,"TPM":6,"TOP":0}},"has_geo":true,"geo_meta":{"kind":"admin1","source":"Natural Earth 10m admin-1 states/provinces (nvkelso/natural-earth-vector), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Longitudes <0 shifted +360 so the country renders as one contiguous landmass across the 180 deg antimeridian. Region set and any internationally-disputed territories follow the Natural Earth source dataset. Far overseas/outlying territories may fall outside the primary map frame."},"next_election":{"date":"2026-11-07","title":"New Zealand general election","chamber":"House of Representatives","type":"scheduled"}}
