{"iso":"NG","name":"Nigeria","flag":"\ud83c\uddf3\ud83c\uddec","vote":"Presidential vote \u00b7 baseline forecast","model":"baseline","updated":"2023-02-25","source":"2023 election result, official count","credit":"No regular published national polling feed. Shares are the presidential vote of 25 February 2023, official results as published by the electoral commission INEC and upheld by the courts. The winner took the lowest share of the Fourth Republic amid logistical failures and result-upload breakdowns that opposition parties said undermined confidence. Candidates below one percent are not shown. A general election is scheduled for 16 January 2027.","shares":{"APC":36.6,"PDP":29.1,"LP":25.4,"NNPP":6.4},"polls":[],"parties":{"APC":{"name":"All Progressives Congress","color":"#45B5E6"},"PDP":{"name":"Peoples Democratic Party","color":"#17743B"},"LP":{"name":"Labour Party","color":"#D22027"},"NNPP":{"name":"New Nigeria Peoples Party","color":"#F08A1D"}},"primer":{"system":"Federal presidential republic","head_of_state":"President Bola Tinubu","legislature":"National Assembly, a 360-seat House of Representatives and a 109-seat Senate.","electoral_system":"The president is elected by plurality but must also take a quarter of the vote in two-thirds of the 36 states. National Assembly seats are first-past-the-post.","government_now":"Tinubu's APC governs after a three-way 2023 race in which Peter Obi's Labour Party broke the two-party pattern and challenges from Atiku Abubakar and Obi were dismissed in court.","context":"Africa's most populous country saw Tinubu's removal of the fuel subsidy and currency float trigger the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation. The next general election is scheduled for 16 January 2027.","sources":"Cross-checked against the English-language MediaWiki encyclopedic record via its public API, 2 July 2026."},"parties_info":{"APC":["All Progressives Congress","","Broad centre-right big-tent party formed in 2013 to unseat the PDP; the ruling party, holding the presidency under Bola Tinubu."],"PDP":["Peoples Democratic Party","","Big-tent centrist party that governed nationally from 1999 to 2015; now the main opposition, though weakened by defections."],"LP":["Labour Party","","Social-democratic/labour party that broke through in 2023 behind Peter Obi's youth-driven 'Obidient' movement, strongest in the south-east; in opposition."],"NNPP":["New Nigeria Peoples Party","","Party built around Rabiu Kwankwaso with a Kano stronghold; a smaller opposition party."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"House of Representatives","as_of":"2023 election","total":360,"seats":{"APC":162,"PDP":102,"LP":34,"NNPP":18}},"region_winners":{"Abia State":"LP","Adamawa State":"PDP","Akwa Ibom State":"PDP","Anambra State":"LP","Bauchi State":"PDP","Bayelsa State":"PDP","Benue State":"APC","Borno State":"APC","Cross River State":"LP","Delta State":"LP","Ebonyi State":"LP","Edo State":"LP","Ekiti State":"APC","Enugu State":"LP","Gombe State":"PDP","Imo State":"LP","Jigawa State":"APC","Kaduna State":"PDP","Katsina State":"PDP","Kebbi State":"PDP","Kogi State":"APC","Kwara State":"APC","Lagos":"LP","Nasarawa State":"LP","Niger State":"APC","Ogun State":"APC","Ondo State":"APC","Osun State":"PDP","Oyo State":"APC","Plateau State":"LP","Rivers State":"APC","Sokoto State":"PDP","Taraba State":"PDP","Yobe State":"PDP","Zamfara State":"APC","Kano State":"NNPP","Federal Capital Territory":"LP"},"region_meta":{"election":"2023 Nigerian presidential election","source":"INEC official results (2023 Nigerian presidential election), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Winning candidate's party per state/FCT. APC=Tinubu, PDP=Atiku, LP=Obi, NNPP=Kwankwaso (Kano)."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2027-01-16","title":"Nigerian general election","chamber":"Presidency & National Assembly","type":"scheduled"}}