{"iso":"MX","name":"Mexico","flag":"\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\uddfd","vote":"Chamber of Deputies \u00b7 vote-share forecast","model":"voteshare","updated":"2026-06-24","source":"Mean of the six most recent national polls, Chamber of Deputies voting intention","credit":"Chamber of Deputies voting intention from Gobernarte, De las Heras Demotecnia, Varela y Asociados, Buendia y Marquez, Enkoll, Becerra Mizuno, Electoralia and Statistical Research Corporation, compiled from the public polling record","shares":{"PAN":13.3,"PRI":10.3,"PVEM":3.5,"PT":3.7,"MC":6.0,"MORENA":43.3},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-24","pollster":"Gobernarte","shares":{"PAN":15.5,"PRI":11.4,"PVEM":2.6,"PT":5.2,"MC":4.5,"MORENA":46.9}},{"date":"2026-06-08","pollster":"De las Heras Demotecnia","shares":{"PAN":9.0,"PRI":9.0,"PVEM":5.0,"PT":2.0,"MC":7.0,"MORENA":44.0}},{"date":"2026-05-31","pollster":"Varela y Asociados","shares":{"PAN":9.0,"PRI":8.0,"PVEM":3.0,"PT":1.0,"MC":5.0,"MORENA":27.0}},{"date":"2026-05-21","pollster":"Buendia & Marquez","shares":{"PAN":11.0,"PRI":10.0,"PVEM":6.0,"PT":3.0,"MC":9.0,"MORENA":39.0}},{"date":"2026-05-19","pollster":"Enkoll","shares":{"PAN":12.0,"PRI":8.0,"PVEM":5.0,"PT":1.0,"MC":12.0,"MORENA":39.0}},{"date":"2026-05-12","pollster":"Becerra Mizuno y Asociados","shares":{"PAN":18.0,"PRI":13.0,"PVEM":9.0,"PT":4.0,"MC":15.0,"MORENA":41.0}},{"date":"2026-05-02","pollster":"Electoralia","shares":{"PAN":19.0,"PRI":7.0,"PVEM":1.0,"PT":1.0,"MC":9.0,"MORENA":45.0}},{"date":"2026-04-09","pollster":"Statistical Research Corporation","shares":{"PAN":13.8,"PRI":10.5,"PVEM":1.4,"PT":1.3,"MC":11.7,"MORENA":49.1}},{"date":"2026-03-30","pollster":"Electoralia","shares":{"PAN":20.0,"PRI":6.0,"PVEM":1.0,"PT":1.0,"MC":9.0,"MORENA":46.0}},{"date":"2026-03-28","pollster":"Varela y Asociados","shares":{"PAN":11.0,"PRI":9.0,"PVEM":3.0,"PT":2.0,"MC":7.0,"MORENA":29.0}}],"parties":{"MORENA":{"name":"Movimiento Regeneraci\u00f3n Nacional","color":"#C0311A","name_en":"National Regeneration Movement"},"PAN":{"name":"Partido Acci\u00f3n Nacional","color":"#0957A4","name_en":"National Action Party"},"PRI":{"name":"Partido Revolucionario Institucional","color":"#4DA663","name_en":"Institutional Revolutionary Party"},"MC":{"name":"Movimiento Ciudadano","color":"#FF8C00","name_en":"Citizens' Movement"},"PVEM":{"name":"Partido Verde Ecologista de M\u00e9xico","color":"#9AC95E","name_en":"Ecologist Green Party of Mexico"},"PT":{"name":"Partido del Trabajo","color":"#DB2017","name_en":"Labor Party"}},"primer":{"system":"Federal presidential republic","head_of_state":"President Claudia Sheinbaum, who is also head of government","legislature":"Congress of the Union \u00b7 the 500-seat Chamber of Deputies, elected every three years, and the Senate","electoral_system":"Parallel voting fills 300 Chamber seats by first past the post and 200 by proportional representation.","government_now":"Claudia Sheinbaum of Morena governs with the Green and Labor parties, whose bloc controls the Chamber against PAN, PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano.","context":"Sheinbaum became Mexico's first female president in 2024 and continues the Morena movement's hold on national politics. Midterm congressional elections are due on 6 June 2027.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders and Congress \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"MORENA":["Movimiento Regeneraci\u00f3n Nacional","National Regeneration Movement","Left-wing populist movement founded by Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador; dominant ruling party holding the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum and a supermajority governing bloc."],"PAN":["Partido Acci\u00f3n Nacional","National Action Party","Centre-right, conservative and Christian-democratic, pro-business; long the main right-of-centre force and now the largest opposition party."],"PRI":["Partido Revolucionario Institucional","Institutional Revolutionary Party","Centrist big-tent party that ruled Mexico continuously for 71 years to 2000; now a much-diminished opposition party allied with PAN."],"MC":["Movimiento Ciudadano","Citizens' Movement","Centrist social-liberal party positioning as a 'third way' outside the two big blocs; in opposition."],"PVEM":["Partido Verde Ecologista de M\u00e9xico","Ecologist Green Party of Mexico","Nominally green but a pragmatic ally of Morena; junior partner in the governing coalition."],"PT":["Partido del Trabajo","Labor Party","Left-wing socialist party; junior partner in Morena's governing coalition."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Chamber of Deputies","as_of":"2024 election","total":500,"seats":{"MORENA":236,"PVEM":77,"PT":51,"PAN":72,"PRI":35,"MC":27}},"region_winners":{"Sonora":"MORENA","Baja California":"MORENA","Chihuahua":"MORENA","Coahuila":"MORENA","Tamaulipas":"MORENA","Nuevo Le\u00f3n":"MORENA","Quintana Roo":"MORENA","Campeche":"MORENA","Tabasco":"MORENA","Chiapas":"MORENA","Colima":"MORENA","Nayarit":"MORENA","Baja California Sur":"MORENA","Sinaloa":"MORENA","Yucat\u00e1n":"MORENA","Veracruz":"MORENA","Jalisco":"MORENA","Michoac\u00e1n":"MORENA","Guerrero":"MORENA","Oaxaca":"MORENA","State of Mexico":"MORENA","Puebla":"MORENA","Morelos":"MORENA","Quer\u00e9taro":"MORENA","Hidalgo":"MORENA","Guanajuato":"MORENA","San Luis Potos\u00ed":"MORENA","Zacatecas":"MORENA","Aguascalientes":"PAN","Durango":"MORENA","Tlaxcala":"MORENA","Mexico":"MORENA"},"region_meta":{"election":"2024 Mexican presidential election","source":"INE official results (2024 Mexican general election), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Plurality winner per federal entity. MORENA=Sheinbaum (carried 31 of 32); PAN=G\u00e1lvez (Aguascalientes only). Geometry key 'MEX+99?' is malformed and left uncolored; all 32 real entities are covered."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2027-06-06","title":"Mexican legislative election","chamber":"Chamber of Deputies","type":"scheduled"}}