{"iso":"IS","name":"Iceland","flag":"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf8","vote":"Althing \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-03-31","source":"Average of the seven national polls published in 2026, compiled from the public polling record","credit":"Recent Icelandic voting-intention polls by Gallup, Mask\u00edna and Pr\u00f3sent, compiled from the public polling record for the next Althing election, due by 30 November 2028.","shares":{"S":28.6,"C":11.4,"F":5.8,"D":18.1,"M":19.9,"B":5.6,"J":2.5,"P":3.6,"V":4.3},"polls":[{"date":"2026-03-31","pollster":"Gallup","shares":{"S":30,"C":10,"F":5.8,"D":19.5,"M":20.6,"B":4.7,"J":2,"P":3,"V":4.3}},{"date":"2026-03-19","pollster":"Mask\u00edna","shares":{"S":25.5,"C":14,"F":5.8,"D":16.1,"M":18.4,"B":7.1,"J":3.5,"P":5,"V":4.4}},{"date":"2026-03-01","pollster":"Gallup","shares":{"S":28.5,"C":10.9,"F":5.8,"D":18.1,"M":20.3,"B":6.6,"J":2,"P":2.7,"V":4.2}},{"date":"2026-02-28","pollster":"Mask\u00edna","shares":{"S":27.2,"C":13.4,"F":4.8,"D":16.2,"M":19,"B":7,"J":3.1,"P":5.2,"V":4.1}},{"date":"2026-02-16","pollster":"Pr\u00f3sent","shares":{"S":30.1,"C":13.5,"F":7.7,"D":13.7,"M":19.6,"B":5.9,"J":2.4,"P":3.6,"V":3.3}},{"date":"2026-02-01","pollster":"Gallup","shares":{"S":31.2,"C":11.3,"F":5.3,"D":17.1,"M":20.8,"B":5.4,"J":1.9,"P":3.4,"V":3.1}},{"date":"2026-01-13","pollster":"Mask\u00edna","shares":{"S":27,"C":14.1,"F":4.3,"D":13.5,"M":22.2,"B":7.1,"J":4.1,"P":4.1,"V":3.7}}],"parties":{"S":{"name":"Samfylkingin","color":"#ED1400","name_en":"Social Democratic Alliance"},"C":{"name":"Vi\u00f0reisn","color":"#FF7D14","name_en":"Vi\u00f0reisn (Liberal Reform)"},"F":{"name":"Flokkur f\u00f3lksins","color":"#FFCA3E","name_en":"People's Party"},"D":{"name":"Sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0isflokkurinn","color":"#00ADEF","name_en":"Independence Party"},"M":{"name":"Mi\u00f0flokkurinn","color":"#141F6E","name_en":"Centre Party"},"B":{"name":"Frams\u00f3knarflokkurinn","color":"#85FF8F","name_en":"Progressive Party"},"J":{"name":"S\u00f3s\u00edalistaflokkur \u00cdslands","color":"#EF4839","name_en":"Socialist Party"},"P":{"name":"P\u00edratar","color":"#976DFF","name_en":"Pirate Party"},"V":{"name":"Vinstrihreyfingin \u2013 gr\u00e6nt frambo\u00f0","color":"#00B878","name_en":"Left-Green Movement"}},"seats":{"S":20,"C":8,"F":4,"D":13,"M":14,"B":4},"seat_meta":{"total":63,"majority":32,"method":"dhondt","threshold":5.0,"chamber":"Althing","note":"Real system is open-list PR in six constituencies allocated by D'Hondt plus national levelling seats for parties above 5%; approximated as one national D'Hondt pool with a 5% threshold.","largest":"S"},"primer":{"system":"Unitary parliamentary republic","head_of_state":"President Halla T\u00f3masd\u00f3ttir","head_of_government":"Prime Minister Kristr\u00fan Frostad\u00f3ttir","legislature":"Althing, 63 seats, elected every four years","electoral_system":"Open-list proportional representation in six constituencies, with levelling seats for parties above 5 percent nationally.","government_now":"Kristr\u00fan Frostad\u00f3ttir's Social Democratic Alliance governs with Vi\u00f0reisn and the People's Party, holding 36 of 63 seats since the November 2024 election.","context":"The 2024 election produced a three-party centre-left government and made Frostad\u00f3ttir prime minister, with the Independence Party leading the opposition on 14 seats. The next election is due by November 2028.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders, parliament and cabinet \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"S":["Samfylkingin","Social Democratic Alliance","Centre-left social democrats; won the 2024 election and lead the governing coalition under PM Kristr\u00fan Frostad\u00f3ttir."],"C":["Vi\u00f0reisn","Liberal Reform","Liberal, pro-European centrist party; a junior partner in the current government."],"F":["Flokkur f\u00f3lksins","People's Party","Populist party centred on welfare, pensioners and the disadvantaged; a junior partner in the government."],"D":["Sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0isflokkurinn","Independence Party","Historically dominant centre-right, pro-business conservative party; now the main opposition after losing power in 2024."],"M":["Mi\u00f0flokkurinn","Centre Party","Right-wing populist, nationalist and Eurosceptic party of former PM Sigmundur Dav\u00ed\u00f0 Gunnlaugsson; in opposition."],"B":["Frams\u00f3knarflokkurinn","Progressive Party","Centrist agrarian party, long a fixture of coalitions; reduced to opposition after 2024."],"J":["S\u00f3s\u00edalistaflokkur \u00cdslands","Socialist Party of Iceland","Far-left socialist party; fell below the 5 percent threshold in 2024 and holds no seats."],"P":["P\u00edratar","Pirate Party","Left-libertarian party for direct democracy and digital rights; dropped below the threshold in 2024 and holds no seats."],"V":["Vinstrihreyfingin \u2013 gr\u00e6nt frambo\u00f0","Left-Green Movement","Left-wing environmentalist party that led the previous government but collapsed below the threshold in 2024, losing all its seats."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Althing","as_of":"2024 election","total":63,"seats":{"S":15,"D":14,"C":11,"F":10,"M":8,"B":5,"J":0,"P":0,"V":0}},"has_geo":true,"geo_meta":{"kind":"admin1","source":"Natural Earth 10m admin-1 states/provinces (nvkelso/natural-earth-vector), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Region set and any internationally-disputed territories follow the Natural Earth source dataset. Far overseas/outlying territories may fall outside the primary map frame."},"next_election":{"date":"2028-11","title":"Icelandic parliamentary election (due by 30 November 2028)","chamber":"Althing","type":"expected"}}
