{"iso":"IL","name":"Israel","flag":"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf1","vote":"Knesset seat projection \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-07-01","source":"Mean projected Knesset seats across the last 10 published polls","credit":"Figures are projected Knesset seats out of 120, not vote shares, as Israeli polls are published in seats. Surveys by Maagar Mochot, Direct Polls, Midgam, Filber, Lazar and Kantar for Channels 12, 13 and 14, i24 News, Kan 11 and Maariv, compiled from the public polling record. Where Hadash-Ta'al and Balad are polled jointly the joint figure is shown under Hadash-Ta'al. The election is due by 27 October 2026.","shares":{"LIKUD":24.4,"TOG":15.6,"RZP":4.3,"OTZMA":8.3,"SHAS":8.9,"UTJ":7.5,"YB":9.8,"RAAM":4.6,"HT":5.9,"DEMS":10.1,"YASHAR":20.6},"polls":[{"date":"2026-07-01","pollster":"Maagar Mochot/Channel 13","shares":{"LIKUD":21,"TOG":17,"RZP":5,"OTZMA":8,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":8,"YB":10,"RAAM":5,"HT":6,"DEMS":11,"YASHAR":20}},{"date":"2026-06-30","pollster":"Direct Polls/i24 News","shares":{"LIKUD":29,"TOG":11,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":8,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":8,"YB":9,"RAAM":5,"HT":7,"DEMS":11,"YASHAR":19}},{"date":"2026-06-29","pollster":"Midgam/Channel 12","shares":{"LIKUD":24,"TOG":17,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":8,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":7,"YB":9,"RAAM":5,"HT":5,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":22}},{"date":"2026-06-25","pollster":"Midgam/Channel 12","shares":{"LIKUD":23,"TOG":18,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":9,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":7,"YB":9,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":21}},{"date":"2026-06-25","pollster":"Filber/Channel 14","shares":{"LIKUD":33,"TOG":9,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":7,"SHAS":11,"UTJ":8,"YB":9,"RAAM":5,"HT":5,"DEMS":9,"YASHAR":20}},{"date":"2026-06-25","pollster":"Lazar/Maariv","shares":{"LIKUD":22,"TOG":18,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":9,"SHAS":8,"UTJ":7,"YB":11,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":21}},{"date":"2026-06-24","pollster":"Maagar Mochot/Channel 13","shares":{"LIKUD":23,"TOG":15,"RZP":5,"OTZMA":9,"SHAS":8,"UTJ":8,"YB":12,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":20}},{"date":"2026-06-24","pollster":"Kantar/Kan 11","shares":{"LIKUD":24,"TOG":16,"RZP":5,"OTZMA":9,"SHAS":8,"UTJ":7,"YB":10,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":9,"YASHAR":22}},{"date":"2026-06-18","pollster":"Midgam/Channel 12","shares":{"LIKUD":22,"TOG":19,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":9,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":7,"YB":9,"RAAM":5,"HT":5,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":21}},{"date":"2026-06-18","pollster":"Lazar/Maariv","shares":{"LIKUD":21,"TOG":20,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":8,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":7,"YB":10,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":21}}],"parties":{"LIKUD":{"name":"Likud","color":"#1F5AA5"},"TOG":{"name":"Bennett 2026","color":"#14B14B","name_en":"Together (Bennett)"},"RZP":{"name":"HaTzionut HaDatit","color":"#214785","name_en":"Religious Zionist Party"},"OTZMA":{"name":"Otzma Yehudit","color":"#FF4500"},"SHAS":{"name":"Shas","color":"#000000"},"UTJ":{"name":"Yahadut HaTorah","color":"#003366","name_en":"United Torah Judaism"},"YB":{"name":"Yisrael Beiteinu","color":"#23C2EB"},"RAAM":{"name":"Ra'am","color":"#15793D"},"HT":{"name":"Hadash-Ta'al","color":"#D42436"},"DEMS":{"name":"HaDemokratim","color":"#2A38D7","name_en":"The Democrats"},"YASHAR":{"name":"Yashar","color":"#62B9F2","name_en":"Yashar (Eisenkot)"}},"seats":{"LIKUD":25,"TOG":16,"RZP":4,"OTZMA":8,"SHAS":9,"UTJ":7,"YB":10,"RAAM":4,"HT":6,"DEMS":10,"YASHAR":21},"seat_meta":{"total":120,"majority":61,"method":"dhondt","threshold":0.0,"chamber":"Knesset","note":"Israel is a single nationwide closed-list PR district (120 seats, 3.25% threshold, D'Hondt/Bader-Ofer); Israeli polls are published as projected seats rather than vote shares, so the figures already reflect the threshold and this projection re-proportions them to the 120-seat chamber.","largest":"LIKUD"},"primer":{"system":"Parliamentary republic","head_of_state":"President Isaac Herzog","head_of_government":"Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu","legislature":"Knesset, unicameral, 120 members elected for terms of up to four years.","electoral_system":"Members are elected nationwide by closed-list proportional representation with a 3.25 percent threshold.","government_now":"Netanyahu has led a coalition government since the November 2022 election, in which his right-wing bloc won a Knesset majority.","context":"The 2022 vote was the fifth election in under four years amid prolonged political deadlock. The next election is due by 27 October 2026, and 106 members of the current Knesset have supported a bill proposing an earlier date.","sources":"Cross-checked against the English-language MediaWiki encyclopedic record via its public API, 2 July 2026."},"parties_info":{"LIKUD":["Likud","Consolidation","Right-wing national-conservative party of PM Benjamin Netanyahu; leads the current governing coalition."],"TOG":["Bennett 2026","Together","Centre-right, secular-nationalist comeback vehicle of former PM Naftali Bennett; a new list not in the outgoing Knesset, polling as a leading challenger for 2026."],"RZP":["HaTzionut HaDatit","Religious Zionist Party","Far-right religious-Zionist, pro-settler party of Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich; a hardline partner in Netanyahu's coalition."],"OTZMA":["Otzma Yehudit","Jewish Power","Far-right Jewish ultranationalist party of Itamar Ben Gvir; the most hardline coalition partner."],"SHAS":["Shas","","Ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) party of Sephardi/Mizrahi Jews focused on religion and welfare; a longstanding coalition partner."],"UTJ":["Yahadut HaTorah","United Torah Judaism","Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) party defending Haredi religious interests; a coalition partner."],"YB":["Yisrael Beiteinu","Israel Our Home","Secular hard-line nationalist party led by Avigdor Lieberman, strong among Russian-speaking immigrants; in opposition."],"RAAM":["Ra'am","United Arab List","Conservative Islamist Arab party led by Mansour Abbas; in opposition, notable as the first Arab party to sit in an Israeli government (2021-22)."],"HT":["Hadash-Ta'al","Democratic Front (Hadash) with the Arab Movement for Renewal (Ta'al)","Left-wing, mostly Arab alliance of the Arab-Jewish communist Hadash and the Arab-nationalist Ta'al; in opposition."],"DEMS":["HaDemokratim","The Democrats","Centre-left/left Zionist party formed by the 2024 merger of Labour and Meretz; social-democratic, in opposition (still sits as the Labour faction)."],"YASHAR":["Yashar","Straight","New centrist, security-focused party of former army chief Gadi Eisenkot; not in the outgoing Knesset."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Knesset","as_of":"2022 election (25th Knesset)","total":120,"seats":{"LIKUD":32,"SHAS":11,"RZP":7,"UTJ":7,"OTZMA":6,"YB":6,"RAAM":5,"HT":5,"DEMS":4,"TOG":0,"YASHAR":0}},"has_geo":true,"geo_meta":{"kind":"admin1","source":"Natural Earth 10m admin-1 states/provinces (nvkelso/natural-earth-vector), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Region set and any internationally-disputed territories follow the Natural Earth source dataset. Far overseas/outlying territories may fall outside the primary map frame."},"next_election":{"date":"2026-10-27","title":"Israeli legislative election (due by this date)","chamber":"Knesset","type":"scheduled"},"blocs":{"line":61,"total":120,"blocs":[{"name":"Netanyahu bloc","parties":["LIKUD","SHAS","UTJ","RZP","OTZMA"],"note":"Likud, the Haredi parties and the far right \u00b7 the outgoing coalition"},{"name":"Change bloc","parties":["TOG","YASHAR","YB","DEMS"],"note":"The anti-Netanyahu centre, right and left"},{"name":"Arab parties","parties":["RAAM","HT"],"note":"Will not sit in either Zionist coalition \u00b7 a blocking bloc, not a partner"}],"caption":"A government needs 61 of the 120 Knesset seats. The Arab parties do not join either Zionist coalition, so a bloc that falls short depends on defections or a fresh election."}}
