{"iso":"IE","name":"Ireland","flag":"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddea","vote":"D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-24","source":"Next Irish general election (Opinion polls)","credit":"Recent Irish national voting-intention polls compiled from the public polling record, 'Next Irish general election' (Opinion polls table; Red C/Business Post and Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent, plus Ipsos B&A). Independent Ireland, PBP-Solidarity and Others/Independents columns folded into 'Ind'.","shares":{"FF":14.5,"FG":18.0,"SF":20.9,"SD":11.7,"Lab":3.8,"AON":6.1,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.1},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-24","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":14.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":21.0,"SD":12.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.0}},{"date":"2026-06-05","pollster":"Ireland Thinks","shares":{"FF":16.0,"FG":19.0,"SF":20.0,"SD":12.0,"Lab":3.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.0}},{"date":"2026-05-27","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":15.0,"FG":17.0,"SF":21.0,"SD":10.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":7.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":22.0}},{"date":"2026-05-01","pollster":"Ireland Thinks","shares":{"FF":17.0,"FG":17.0,"SF":22.0,"SD":9.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":7.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.0}},{"date":"2026-04-22","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":16.0,"FG":16.0,"SF":25.0,"SD":8.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":22.0}},{"date":"2026-04-03","pollster":"Ireland Thinks","shares":{"FF":19.0,"FG":17.0,"SF":22.0,"SD":9.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":19.0}},{"date":"2026-03-25","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":16.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":24.0,"SD":8.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.0}},{"date":"2026-02-27","pollster":"Ireland Thinks","shares":{"FF":18.0,"FG":17.0,"SF":22.0,"SD":11.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":4.0,"Ind":19.0}},{"date":"2026-02-19","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":17.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":23.0,"SD":9.0,"Lab":5.0,"AON":5.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":20.0}},{"date":"2026-02-03","pollster":"Ipsos B&A","shares":{"FF":19.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":24.0,"SD":7.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":3.0,"Greens":4.0,"Ind":22.0}},{"date":"2026-01-30","pollster":"Ireland Thinks","shares":{"FF":18.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":20.0,"SD":10.0,"Lab":4.0,"AON":6.0,"Greens":3.0,"Ind":21.0}},{"date":"2026-01-21","pollster":"Red C","shares":{"FF":15.0,"FG":18.0,"SF":24.0,"SD":10.0,"Lab":5.0,"AON":5.0,"Greens":2.0,"Ind":21.0}}],"parties":{"SF":{"name":"Sinn F\u00e9in","color":"#326760"},"SD":{"name":"Social Democrats","color":"#752f8a"},"Lab":{"name":"Labour Party","color":"#cc0000"},"Greens":{"name":"Green Party","color":"#62a420"},"FF":{"name":"Fianna F\u00e1il","color":"#66bb66"},"FG":{"name":"Fine Gael","color":"#1c4f9c"},"AON":{"name":"Aont\u00fa","color":"#44803f"},"Ind":{"name":"Independents & Others","color":"#888888"}},"seats":{"FF":26,"FG":32,"SF":37,"SD":21,"Lab":6,"AON":10,"Greens":5,"Ind":37},"seat_meta":{"total":174,"majority":88,"method":"dhondt","threshold":0.0,"chamber":"D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann","note":"Real system is STV in 43 multi-seat constituencies; approximated by national proportional allocation \u00b7 vote transfers (which materially help transfer-friendly parties) are NOT modelled.","largest":"Ind"},"primer":{"system":"Unitary parliamentary republic","head_of_state":"President Catherine Connolly","head_of_government":"Taoiseach Miche\u00e1l Martin","legislature":"Oireachtas of two houses \u00b7 the D\u00e1il, 174 seats, elected at least every five years, chooses the government","electoral_system":"Proportional representation by the single transferable vote, with voters ranking candidates in multi-seat constituencies.","government_now":"A Fianna F\u00e1il and Fine Gael coalition with independent deputies holds about 90 of 174 seats \u00b7 Miche\u00e1l Martin is Taoiseach and Simon Harris T\u00e1naiste.","context":"The two historic centrist rivals now share power, with Sinn F\u00e9in leading the opposition. Catherine Connolly became president in 2025. The next general election is due by January 2030.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders, parliament and cabinet \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"FF":["Fianna F\u00e1il","","Centre-right republican party; leads the government \u00b7 Miche\u00e1l Martin is Taoiseach (prime minister)."],"FG":["Fine Gael","","Centre-right, liberal-conservative; Fianna F\u00e1il's coalition partner."],"SF":["Sinn F\u00e9in","","Left-wing Irish republican party; the main opposition."],"Lab":["Labour Party","","Centre-left social democratic; Ireland's oldest party."],"SD":["Social Democrats","","Social democratic, advocating a Nordic-style welfare model."],"Greens":["Green Party","Comhaontas Glas","Green; nearly wiped out in 2024 after governing 2020\u201324."],"AON":["Aont\u00fa","","Socially conservative republican party; opposes abortion, economically left-leaning."],"II":["Independent Ireland","\u00c9ire Neamhsple\u00e1ch","Right-wing, rural-focused party founded by former independent TDs in 2023."],"Ind":["Independents & Others","","Unaligned TDs \u00b7 Ireland elects many independents; some support the government."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann","as_of":"2024 election","total":174,"seats":{"FF":48,"SF":39,"FG":38,"SD":11,"Lab":11,"AON":2,"Greens":1,"Ind":24}},"region_winners":{"Carlow-Kilkenny":"FF","Cavan-Monaghan":"SF","Clare":"FF","Cork East":"FG","Cork North-Central":"FF","Cork North-West":"FF","Cork South-Central":"FF","Cork South-West":"FG","Donegal":"SF","Dublin Bay North":"SF","Dublin Bay South":"FG","Dublin Central":"SF","Dublin Fingal East":"FF","Dublin Fingal West":"SF","Dublin Mid-West":"SF","Dublin North-West":"SF","Dublin Rathdown":"FG","Dublin South-Central":"SF","Dublin South-West":"SF","Dublin West":"FF","D\u00fan Laoghaire":"FG","Galway East":"FF","Galway West":"Ind","Kerry":"Ind","Kildare North":"FF","Kildare South":"FG","Laois":"Ind","Limerick City":"FF","Limerick County":"FG","Longford-Westmeath":"FG","Louth":"SF","Mayo":"FG","Meath East":"FG","Meath West":"SF","Offaly":"Ind","Roscommon-Galway":"II","Sligo-Leitrim":"FF","Tipperary North":"Ind","Tipperary South":"Ind","Waterford":"SF","Wexford":"Ind","Wicklow":"FG","Wicklow-Wexford":"FF"},"region_meta":{"election":"2024 D\u00e1il election (29 November 2024) \u00b7 first-preference votes","source":"2024 Irish general election, first-preference vote share by constituency (winning party highlighted; national totals reconcile to the official result). Cork East tie resolved from raw first-count votes (FG +17).","note":"Each of the 43 D\u00e1il constituencies shaded by the party with the most first-preference votes (Ireland uses PR-STV, so this is the leading first-preference party, not necessarily the seat winner). Fianna F\u00e1il, Fine Gael and Sinn F\u00e9in each led a large share; Independents led seven (Kerry, Galway West, the Tipperarys, Laois, Offaly, Wexford) and Independent Ireland led Roscommon\u2013Galway."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2029-12","title":"Irish general election (by Dec 2029)","chamber":"D\u00e1il \u00c9ireann","type":"expected"}}