{"iso":"EE","name":"Estonia","flag":"\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddea","vote":"Riigikogu \u00b7 seat projection","model":"seat","updated":"2026-06-16","source":"Indicative poll-of-polls average","credit":"Indicative aggregate of recent Estonian national voting-intention polls (see Norstat Eesti, Kantar Emor, Turu-uuringute AS). Figures indicative.","shares":{"Isamaa":29.9,"Reform":18.1,"EKRE":16.7,"Keskerakond":14.3,"SDE":11.9,"EE200":5.9},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-16","pollster":"Norstat Eesti","shares":{"Isamaa":30,"Reform":18,"EKRE":17,"Keskerakond":14,"SDE":12,"EE200":6}},{"date":"2026-06-05","pollster":"Kantar Emor","shares":{"Isamaa":29,"Reform":19,"EKRE":16,"Keskerakond":15,"SDE":12,"EE200":6}},{"date":"2026-05-24","pollster":"Turu-uuringute AS","shares":{"Isamaa":31,"Reform":17,"EKRE":17,"Keskerakond":14,"SDE":12,"EE200":5}},{"date":"2026-05-13","pollster":"Norstat Eesti","shares":{"Isamaa":30,"Reform":18,"EKRE":17,"Keskerakond":14,"SDE":11,"EE200":6}}],"parties":{"SDE":{"name":"Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond","color":"#e2001a","name_en":"Social Democratic Party"},"EE200":{"name":"Eesti 200","color":"#00a0a0","name_en":"Estonia 200"},"Reform":{"name":"Eesti Reformierakond","color":"#f9d616","name_en":"Estonian Reform Party"},"Keskerakond":{"name":"Eesti Keskerakond","color":"#1f8a45","name_en":"Estonian Centre Party"},"Isamaa":{"name":"Isamaa","color":"#0a4ea2","name_en":"Isamaa (Pro Patria)"},"EKRE":{"name":"Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond","color":"#0a1a4a","name_en":"Conservative People's Party"}},"seats":{"Isamaa":32,"Reform":19,"EKRE":17,"Keskerakond":15,"SDE":12,"EE200":6},"seat_meta":{"total":101,"majority":51,"method":"dhondt","threshold":5.0,"chamber":"Riigikogu","note":"Real system is 12 districts with a modified D'Hondt national tier (5% threshold); approximated as one national D'Hondt pool.","largest":"Isamaa"},"primer":{"system":"Unitary parliamentary republic","head_of_state":"President Alar Karis","head_of_government":"Prime Minister Kristen Michal","legislature":"Riigikogu, 101 seats, elected every four years","electoral_system":"Party-list proportional representation using a modified D'Hondt method.","government_now":"Kristen Michal's liberal Reform Party governs with Estonia 200, a two-party coalition holding 52 of 101 seats.","context":"The Reform Party has led government since winning the 2023 election, with the Social Democrats, Isamaa, EKRE and the Centre Party in opposition. The next election is due by March 2027.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders, parliament and cabinet \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"Reform":["Eesti Reformierakond","Reform Party","Liberal, pro-market; leads the government \u00b7 Kristen Michal is PM."],"EE200":["Eesti 200","Estonia 200","Liberal; junior partner in the Michal cabinet."],"SDE":["Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond","Social Democratic Party","Centre-left; left the governing coalition in 2025."],"Isamaa":["Isamaa","Fatherland","National-conservative, Christian-democratic."],"EKRE":["Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond","Conservative People's Party","Nationalist, right-wing populist."],"Keskerakond":["Eesti Keskerakond","Centre Party","Centrist-populist with strong support among Russian-speaking voters."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Riigikogu","as_of":"2023 election","total":101,"seats":{"Reform":37,"EKRE":17,"Keskerakond":16,"EE200":14,"SDE":9,"Isamaa":8}},"region_winners":{"Saare maakond":"Reform","P\u00e4rnu maakond":"Reform","Hiiu maakond":"Reform","L\u00e4\u00e4ne maakond":"Reform","Ida-Viru maakond":"Keskerakond","Harju maakond":"Reform","L\u00e4\u00e4ne-Viru maakond":"Reform","Tartu maakond":"Reform","Valga maakond":"Reform","Viljandi maakond":"Reform","P\u00f5lva maakond":"EKRE","J\u00e4rva maakond":"Reform","Rapla maakond":"Reform","V\u00f5ru maakond":"EKRE","J\u00f5geva maakond":"Reform"},"region_meta":{"election":"2023 Riigikogu election","source":"Estonian National Electoral Committee (valimised.ee detailed + official signed e-vote tally), paper+e-votes combined by county","note":"All-votes plurality per county (e-votes ~51% of total, merged by voter home municipality). Reform 12, EKRE 2 (P\u00f5lva, V\u00f5ru), Centre 1 (Ida-Viru)."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2027-03","title":"Estonian parliamentary election (by Mar 2027)","chamber":"Riigikogu","type":"expected"}}
