{"iso":"BR","name":"Brazil","flag":"\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf7","vote":"Presidential first round \u00b7 vote-share forecast","model":"voteshare","updated":"2026-06-30","source":"Mean of the six most recent national polls, presidential first round","credit":"Presidential first round voting intention from AtlasIntel, Nexus, Vox Brasil, PoderData, Indexa, Datafolha, MDA, Futura and Quaest, compiled from the public polling record","shares":{"PT":41.8,"PL":33.4,"PSD":4.1,"NOVO":2.7,"MIS":4.1,"AVA":1.3},"polls":[{"date":"2026-06-30","pollster":"AtlasIntel","shares":{"PT":46.3,"PL":36.6,"PSD":2.9,"NOVO":2.0,"MIS":7.8,"AVA":0.5}},{"date":"2026-06-28","pollster":"Nexus","shares":{"PT":42.0,"PL":34.0,"PSD":5.0,"NOVO":3.0,"MIS":4.0,"AVA":1.0}},{"date":"2026-06-25","pollster":"Vox Brasil","shares":{"PT":38.3,"PL":32.2,"PSD":5.1,"NOVO":2.8,"MIS":2.5,"AVA":0.7}},{"date":"2026-06-24","pollster":"PoderData","shares":{"PT":40.0,"PL":36.0,"PSD":4.0,"NOVO":3.0,"MIS":4.0,"AVA":3.0}},{"date":"2026-06-20","pollster":"Indexa","shares":{"PT":42.0,"PL":31.0,"PSD":5.0,"NOVO":3.0,"MIS":3.0,"AVA":1.0}},{"date":"2026-06-18","pollster":"Datafolha","shares":{"PT":41.0,"PL":31.0,"PSD":3.0,"NOVO":2.0,"MIS":3.0,"AVA":2.0}},{"date":"2026-06-14","pollster":"MDA","shares":{"PT":41.8,"PL":28.2,"PSD":4.0,"NOVO":2.8,"MIS":2.0,"AVA":1.8}},{"date":"2026-06-12","pollster":"Futura","shares":{"PT":41.6,"PL":34.1,"PSD":4.5,"NOVO":3.5,"MIS":2.3,"AVA":0.9}},{"date":"2026-06-08","pollster":"Quaest","shares":{"PT":39.0,"PL":29.0,"PSD":3.0,"NOVO":2.0,"MIS":3.0,"AVA":1.0}}],"parties":{"PT":{"name":"Partido dos Trabalhadores","color":"#e20e28","name_en":"Workers' Party (Lula)"},"PL":{"name":"Partido Liberal","color":"#015AAA","name_en":"Liberal Party (F. Bolsonaro)"},"PSD":{"name":"Partido Social Democr\u00e1tico","color":"#FFA500","name_en":"Social Democratic Party (Caiado)"},"NOVO":{"name":"Partido Novo","color":"#F3701B","name_en":"New Party (Zema)"},"MIS":{"name":"Miss\u00e3o","color":"#FDBF35","name_en":"Mission Party (Renan Santos)"},"AVA":{"name":"Avante","color":"#088F8F","name_en":"Avante (Cury)"}},"primer":{"system":"Federal presidential republic","head_of_state":"President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva, who is also head of government","legislature":"National Congress \u00b7 the 513-seat Chamber of Deputies, elected every four years, and the Federal Senate","electoral_system":"Chamber seats are filled by open-list proportional representation with a 2 percent threshold.","government_now":"President Lula's Workers' Party leads a broad multiparty bloc of about 207 Chamber seats, while a large group of centrist deputies stays independent of both government and opposition.","context":"Politics remains polarised between Lula's left and a right anchored by the Liberal Party, the largest opposition force with 97 seats. General elections on 4 October 2026 will choose the president and Congress.","sources":"Open encyclopedic records of officeholders and Congress \u00b7 checked 2 Jul 2026"},"parties_info":{"PT":["Partido dos Trabalhadores","Workers' Party","Main left party, led by president Lula; anchors the governing multiparty bloc."],"PL":["Partido Liberal","Liberal Party","Right-wing national-conservative party of Jair Bolsonaro; the largest party in the Chamber and the main opposition."],"PSD":["Partido Social Democr\u00e1tico","Social Democratic Party","Pragmatic big-tent centre party (part of the 'Centr\u00e3o'); typically joins whichever government is in power."],"NOVO":["Partido Novo","New Party","Small right-libertarian, free-market party; its 2026 presidential candidate is Minas Gerais governor Romeu Zema."],"MIS":["Miss\u00e3o","Mission","A newly formed right-wing party associated with Renan Santos of the Free Brazil Movement (MBL); it holds no seats in Congress."],"AVA":["Avante","","Small pragmatic centre party (part of the 'Centr\u00e3o'); holds a handful of seats."]},"seats_now":{"chamber":"Chamber of Deputies","as_of":"2022 election","total":513,"seats":{"PT":68,"PL":99,"PSD":42,"NOVO":3,"MIS":0,"AVA":7}},"region_winners":{"Acre":"PL","Alagoas":"PT","Amap\u00e1":"PL","Amazonas":"PT","Bahia":"PT","Cear\u00e1":"PT","Esp\u00edrito Santo":"PL","Federal":"PL","Goi\u00e1s":"PL","Maranh\u00e3o":"PT","Mato Grosso":"PL","Mato Grosso do Sul":"PL","Minas Gerais":"PT","Par\u00e1":"PT","Para\u00edba":"PT","Paran\u00e1":"PL","Pernambuco":"PT","Piau\u00ed":"PT","Rio de Janeiro":"PL","Rio Grande do Norte":"PT","Rio Grande do Sul":"PL","Rond\u00f4nia":"PL","Roraima":"PL","Santa Catarina":"PL","S\u00e3o Paulo":"PL","Sergipe":"PT","Tocantins":"PT"},"region_meta":{"election":"2022 Brazilian general election (presidential, second round)","source":"TSE official results (2022 Brazilian general election), retrieved 2026-07-02","note":"Second-round winner per federative unit. PT=Lula, PL=Bolsonaro. 'Federal' = Distrito Federal."},"has_geo":true,"next_election":{"date":"2026-10-04","title":"Brazilian general election","chamber":"Chamber of Deputies","type":"scheduled"}}